{"id":374860,"date":"2025-10-13T09:58:51","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T13:58:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374860"},"modified":"2025-10-13T09:58:52","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T13:58:52","slug":"maple-leafs-vs-red-wings-picks-october-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/maple-leafs-vs-red-wings-picks-october-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks Oct. 13: Take the over, back William Nylander and Morgan Rielly"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings meet for a Thanksgiving matinee at Scotiabank Arena on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: This game has a 2:00 p.m. ET start to accommodate Toronto fans looking to catch the Maple Leafs and Blue Jays games back-to-back. The Maple Leafs played the Red Wings on Saturday, losing 6-3, and hope for a better result in Easton Cowan&#8217;s NHL debut. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings picks, featuring prop bets on Morgan Rielly and William Nylander. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Over 6 goals (-114)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto was down 4-3 late in Saturday&#8217;s game before Detroit added a pair of empty net goals to secure its first win of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I expect another high-scoring affair today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Leafs don&#8217;t have a goalie confirmed as of 9:25 a.m., but I have a suspicion it will be backup Cayden Primeau. Anthony Stolarz has played two games already, and Toronto is back in action tomorrow night against the Nashville Predators.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Primeau posted a 4.70 GAA and .836 SV% last season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But even if Stolarz gets the crease, I can see him giving up a few after allowing four goals on 33 shots in his last start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep an eye on official updates ahead of puck drop. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other end is Cam Talbot, who was good but not great against the Leafs on Saturday, giving up three goals on 23 shots (.870 SV%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Talbot ranked outside of the top 25 in GAA and SV% last year, posting an .817 SV% in three games against Toronto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The over on this total is 3-0-1 in the last four games between Toronto and Detroit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:119239\">Embed: #119239<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/ice_hockey\/nhl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nhl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NHL betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nhl-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NHL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nhl\/top-skaters?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NHL stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Maple Leafs prop predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nylander 1+ power play points (+200):<\/strong> If you want a safer bet here, taking the Maple Leafs to record a power play goal carries -114 odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto is one of four teams yet to score on the man advantage, going 0-for-4 through two games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That won&#8217;t last forever, though, and I think today&#8217;s the day the unit gets on the board. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Maple Leafs had the eighth-best PP rate (24.8%) in the NHL last season. Losing Mitch Marner (the team&#8217;s top PP producer) is a big blow, but the top unit is still stacked with elite talent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Skating alongside Nylander are Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies, John Tavares and Rielly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nylander&#8217;s 30 PP points ranked second to Marner last season. The Swede&#8217;s 65 PP points from 2023-2025 were the most on the Leafs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rielly 1+ point (-114):<\/strong> In a perfect world, we cash Rielly and Nylander&#8217;s props on the same play, given that they&#8217;re on the same PP unit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I also like the defenceman&#8217;s chances of producing at even strength after his red-hot start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Rielly has one goal and three assists, finding the stat sheet in both games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 31-year-old has played 20+ minutes both nights, and he ranks second on the team in chances (i.e shot attempts) with 13.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto wanted more production out of its highest-paid defenceman heading into this season, and so far, Rielly has delivered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET 10\/13\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings meet for a Thanksgiving matinee at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. The pregame narrative: This game has a 2:00 p.m. ET start to accommodate Toronto fans looking to catch the Maple Leafs and Blue Jays games back-to-back. The Maple Leafs played the Red Wings on Saturday, losing 6-3, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":374864,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[49],"class_list":["post-374860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl","tag-nhl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks Oct. 13: NHL predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks on Oct. 13, 2025. 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