{"id":374762,"date":"2025-10-12T12:08:59","date_gmt":"2025-10-12T16:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374762"},"modified":"2025-10-12T12:09:00","modified_gmt":"2025-10-12T16:09:00","slug":"bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Bears vs. Commanders MNF Week 6 SGP predictions: Caleb Williams should help Chicago cover an alt spread"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the second leg of this week&#8217;s Monday Night Football doubleheader, the Chicago Bears take on the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> When these teams met last year, absurdity struck, as Washington walked off with a successful tip-drill Hail Mary for the win. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/caleb_williams\">Caleb Williams<\/a> was atrocious in that game, but I expect a more efficient and productive showing from him this time around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Bears vs. Commanders same-game parlay predictions for Week 6, featuring Williams and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/jacory_croskey-merritt\">Jacory Croskey-Merritt<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Williams 20+ completions | <strong>Croskey-Merritt 70+ rush yards | Bears +10.5<\/strong> (+410)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/nfl_bts_2025?utm_source=Insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=bts_2025\">Weekly prizes &amp; bet boosts: Beat the Spread Challenge. ENTER NOW!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Williams 20+ completions <\/strong><\/strong>(-130):<\/strong> In his homecoming to the DMV area last season, Williams put in a brutal performance against the Commanders. He completed just 10 of 24 passes for 131 yards and zero TDs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m sure he&#8217;ll want to perform better in the do-over, and I expect Bears head coach Ben Johnson to put his young QB in a position to succeed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Williams has the sixth-highest expected completion percentage in the NFL (68.8%), per RBSDM.com. His actual completion percentage (63.3%) lags behind, but that means there&#8217;s room for positive regression.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Commanders have allowed an 84.6 passer rating so far this season, per Rotowire. That ranks in the 35th percentile in the NFL.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>More specifically, Washington&#8217;s linebackers have allowed a 134.5 passer rating (third percentile), which should translate to a lot of open receivers running underneath.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Williams is 2-2 vs. this prop, landing on exactly 19 completions in both unders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For his career, Williams is 12-9 vs. this prop while averaging 20.6 completions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:119155\">Embed: #119155<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">Full NFL markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standingshttps:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">NFL player &amp; team stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Monday Night Football SGP picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Croskey-Merritt 70+ rushing yards<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> (-114):<\/strong> My colleague Spencer Closs got better value on this market the other day, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-monday-night-football-picks-2025\">backing Croskey-Merritt<\/a> over 66.5 yards at a comparable price. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But dammit, I still like this prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The seventh-round rookie tailback known colloquially as &#8220;Bill&#8221; leads NFL running backs in success rate (72.1%) and yards per carry (6.6).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His usage has been frustratingly inconsistent, but he put up monster numbers last Sunday:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>14 carries<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>111 rushing yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2 catches<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>39 receiving yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2 total TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Hopefully, the Commanders allow him to build off a boom week. The matchup is an enticing one for him, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bears&#8217; run defence ranks 26th in success rate and 22nd in EPA. Each of Chicago&#8217;s past three opponents has had a tailback cash this yardage milestone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bears +10.5 (-286):<\/strong> Chicago was trounced by the Detroit Lions in Week 2, but otherwise, the Bears have held their own this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bears entered their bye week coming off a pair of straight-up wins as underdogs. They also fell a field goal shy of the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Chicago is rested, Washington has had to travel for six consecutive weeks (i.e. no byes or back-to-back home games). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Commanders earned a fluky 18-15 win over the Bears last year, meaning they weren&#8217;t even close to covering this number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Bears vs. Commanders predictions made at 11:40 a.m. on 10\/12\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the second leg of this week&#8217;s Monday Night Football doubleheader, the Chicago Bears take on the Washington Commanders. The pregame narrative: When these teams met last year, absurdity struck, as Washington walked off with a successful tip-drill Hail Mary for the win. Caleb Williams was atrocious in that game, but I expect a more [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":374784,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-374762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-12T16:08:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-12T16:09:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/10\/CP175050691-scaled.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/\",\"name\":\"Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-10-12T16:08:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-12T16:09:00+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB","description":"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB","og_description":"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-10-12T16:08:59+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-10-12T16:09:00+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1707,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/10\/CP175050691-scaled.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/","name":"Bears vs. Commanders predictions: 2025 MNF SGP | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-10-12T16:08:59+00:00","dateModified":"2025-10-12T16:09:00+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Bears vs. Commanders SGP predictions. NFL betting odds and same-game parlay picks for Monday Night Football.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-commanders-week-6-mnf-sgp-predictions-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=374762"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374762\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":374786,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374762\/revisions\/374786"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/374784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=374762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=374762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=374762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}