{"id":374603,"date":"2025-10-10T16:29:56","date_gmt":"2025-10-10T20:29:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374603"},"modified":"2025-10-10T16:29:56","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T20:29:56","slug":"lions-vs-chiefs-week-6-sunday-night-football-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/lions-vs-chiefs-week-6-sunday-night-football-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Lions vs. Chiefs Week 6 Sunday Night Football picks: Bet on David Montgomery to stay involved, Detroit to cover as SNF underdogs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A pair of cross-conference Super Bowl hopefuls meet in Week 6 on Sunday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs are second and fourth, respectively, on the current Super Bowl 60 odds leaderboard. KC is a modest home favourite this week despite some truly stellar play of late on the Lions&#8217; side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Lions vs. Chiefs picks for the Sunday Night Football matchup on Oct. 12, featuring a prop prediction on David Montgomery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lions vs. Chiefs picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\/matches\"><strong>Full NFL markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/top-players\/passing-yards\"><strong>NFL player &amp; team stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report-news\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\"><strong>NFL standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: <strong>Montgomery over 10.5 rush attempts (-125)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Lions should want to run the ball a lot on Sunday night. To me, this line is a smash play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>For one thing, the Lions already run the ball a lot. They rank third in the NFL in run play percentage (49.67%), per Team Rankings.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Chiefs&#8217; run defence has struggled mightily. It ranks 30th in rush success rate and 31st in EPA per rush, according to RBSDM.com.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The catch is that Montgomery is the 1B in Detroit&#8217;s two-man backfield, having handed the 1A reins to Jahmyr Gibbs. So if Gibbs is rolling, Montgomery could see a smaller piece of the pie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That wasn&#8217;t the case last week, though, when Montgomery rumbled for 65 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries against the Bengals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gibbs, meanwhile, had 12 carries for 54 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was the first time this season that Montgomery out-touched Gibbs on the ground since Week 1. I&#8217;m not expecting that to become a trend, but it tells me there&#8217;s room for both to be active.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jared Goff is capable of airing it out, but Detroit&#8217;s offensive identity starts with its two-headed monster in the backfield. Montgomery has been steadily involved all season, and that shouldn&#8217;t change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Montgomery is 4-1 vs. this rush attempts prop, averaging 12.2 attempts per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sunday Night Football ATS pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lions +2.5<\/strong> <strong>(-110):<\/strong> Detroit&#8217;s Week 1 flop in Green Bay feels like a distant memory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That was the Lions&#8217; first game without its Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn, the former offensive and defensive coordinators who departed in the offseason for head coaching gigs. Maybe the team just needed a little longer to gel without them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From Week 2 onward, Detroit is 4-0 SU and ATS with a +76 point differential. The Lions are also No. 1 in offensive EPA and No. 2 in defensive EPA in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like the Lions to win outright at plus money, but backing them with a couple of extra points doesn&#8217;t hurt, either. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach in 2021, Detroit is 24-11 ATS as an underdog (68.6%, No. 2 hit rate in the NFL).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City has one fewer day of rest and is just 1-2 SU as a favourite on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Lions vs. Chiefs<\/em> <em>picks made at 4:27 p.m. ET 10\/10\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of cross-conference Super Bowl hopefuls meet in Week 6 on Sunday Night Football. The pregame narrative: The Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs are second and fourth, respectively, on the current Super Bowl 60 odds leaderboard. KC is a modest home favourite this week despite some truly stellar play of late on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":374538,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-374603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Lions vs. Chiefs picks SNF: 2025 NFL Week 6 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 6 Lions vs. Chiefs picks. 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