{"id":374333,"date":"2025-10-09T15:31:31","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T19:31:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374333"},"modified":"2025-10-09T15:31:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T19:31:32","slug":"nfl-prop-bets-and-predictions-week-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-prop-bets-and-predictions-week-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NFL Week 6 prop bets: Bet on Davante Adams, Ladd McConkey and Christian McCaffrey"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A trio of big names headline these NFL Week 6 prop bets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Davante Adams and Ladd McConkey have been the No. 2 options on their respective teams so far. But that&#8217;s led to a pair of manageable lines I want to exploit. Elsewhere, I expect Christian McCaffrey to be active as a pass catcher against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my top Week 6 NFL prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL prop bets: Week 6<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\/matches\"><strong>Full NFL markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/top-players\/passing-yards\"><strong>NFL player &amp; team stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report-news\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\"><strong>NFL standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Adams over 63.5 receiving yards (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Baltimore Ravens&#8217; defence is in a tailspin, and a bad result on Sunday could very well cost coordinator Zach Orr his job. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s no exaggeration. Just look at how the unit has performed so far:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>32nd in points per game (35.4)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>31st in yards per game (408.8) <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30th in EPA per play (+0.186)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>29th in EPA per dropback (+0.244)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Enter the Los Angeles Rams, who have a rest advantage after playing on Thursday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You could make a good argument for any player to smash their receiving or rushing total, but I think Adams stands out for a few reasons. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to Rotowire, the veteran ranks in the 90th percentile or higher in air yards per game (109.6), team target rate (25.4%) and targets per route (27.1%) among all WRs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Puka Nacua is the top dog, but there&#8217;s plenty of love to go around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: The Ravens are allowing the ninth-most receiving yards per game to WRs (159), per Football Reference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Best NFL picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>McConkey over 55.5 receiving yards (-118)<\/strong>:<\/strong> McConkey is having a very slow start to the season after a great rookie campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>2024:<\/strong> 5.1 catches and 71.8 yards per game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2025: <\/strong>4.2 catches and 42.6 yards per game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The emergence of Quentin Johnston as a reliable target and the acquisition of Keenan Allen have really cut into his production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But McConkey still leads the squad in route participation, and Johnston (hamstring) was limited at practice on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also, Omarion Hampton is on injured reserve, which should mean a more pass-heavy attack for Jim Harbaugh&#8217;s group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Add in the fact that McConkey is going up against a Miami Dolphins defence ranking 30th in EPA per dropback, and I think we have a recipe for a breakout game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Christian McCaffrey over 6.5 receptions (-106):<\/strong> This type of line is typically reserved for star wide receivers, but you could argue CMC is position-agnostic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He has the second-most receptions (39) and sixth-most receiving yards (387) among<em> all<\/em> players in the NFL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">McCaffrey is 3-2 against this line, landing on exactly six receptions in both outlying games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I don&#8217;t think the San Francisco 49ers will be able to run the ball well against Tampa Bay&#8217;s defence (No. 1 in EPA per rush).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That just means Kyle Shanahan will have to find other ways to get the ball into the hands of his best playmaker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>NFL prop bets made at 2:30 p.m. ET on 10\/09\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A trio of big names headline these NFL Week 6 prop bets. The pregame narrative: Davante Adams and Ladd McConkey have been the No. 2 options on their respective teams so far. But that&#8217;s led to a pair of manageable lines I want to exploit. Elsewhere, I expect Christian McCaffrey to be active as a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":374304,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-374333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL prop bets: Week 6 picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 6 NFL prop bets. 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