{"id":374118,"date":"2025-10-09T11:57:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T15:57:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=374118"},"modified":"2025-10-09T15:46:42","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T19:46:42","slug":"nfl-week-6-best-bets-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-6-best-bets-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 6 staff best bets: Back Steelers at home, Justin Fields in London"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Our staff&#8217;s Week 6 best bets feature a pair of ATS predictions, one moneyline pick and a prop bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Week 6 narrative:<\/strong> Rest advantages are huge in the NFL, and the Pittsburgh Steelers have a massive one over the Cleveland Browns. Elsewhere, Justin Fields is a solid candidate to run wild against the Denver Broncos in this week&#8217;s London game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our NFL Week 6 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 6 best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These NFL Week 6 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\">Full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\">NFL injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\">NFL stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ATS picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Steelers -5.5 (-110):<\/strong> The NFL schedule makers really hosed Cleveland here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Steelers are 3-1 and coming off a bye, while the Browns are returning from London, playing their third consecutive game in a wildly different time zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland (1-4) isn&#8217;t a good team to begin with, particularly given its horrible offensive numbers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>32nd in points per game (14.6)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30th in EPA per play (-0.164)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>27th in yards per game (288.2)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>26th in pressure rate allowed (25.6%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Browns have failed to score 20 points in 10 consecutive games. I can&#8217;t imagine a rookie quarterback snapping that streak against a well-rested Steelers defence on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118986\">Embed: #118986<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Falcons +4.5 (-108):<\/strong> The Falcons have the NFL&#8217;s ugliest defeat this season, losing 30-0 in Carolina a few weeks ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But they covered this number in their other three games, including a last-second loss to Tampa Bay and a 16-point win as underdogs in Minnesota.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coming off a bye, Atlanta has a distinct rest advantage \u2014 and a home-field advantage \u2014 over a Buffalo squad that hasn&#8217;t left the tri-state area all season. The Bills are on a three-game ATS losing streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Horrobin<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/nfl_bts_2025?utm_source=Insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=bts_2025\">Weekly prizes &amp; bet boosts: Beat the Spread Challenge: ENTER NOW!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Seattle puts stellar road record to the test<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Seahawks moneyline (-106):<\/strong> Seattle has a long journey to Jacksonville, but with an extra day of rest, I don&#8217;t see that being much of an issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Seahawks have a pair of one-score losses against quality divisional opponents (49ers, Buccaneers) and have been one of the strongest overall teams so far. Their +41 point differential is the fourth-best in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, and Seattle is 9-1 on the road since the start of last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jaguars somehow beat the Chiefs despite losing the turnover battle and being outgained by 157 yards. I view this as a letdown spot for the AFC South&#8217;s surprise upstart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Horrobin<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118988\">Embed: #118988<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 6 best bets: Player props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fields over 36.5 rushing yards (-117):<\/strong> On paper, this seems like the perfect matchup for Fields to run wild. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York doesn&#8217;t have any stud receiving weapons outside of Garrett Wilson, and he should be completely locked down by the league&#8217;s best corner, and reigning Defensive Player of the Year, Patrick Surtain II.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver also boasts an elite pass rush, ranking ninth in win rate, according to ESPN.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fields will be forced to use his legs to extend plays if no one is open and he&#8217;s under constant pressure, and we&#8217;ve already seen him do that plenty. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is 3-1 against this line so far while averaging 51 yards per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let me leave you with one disclaimer: Denver has allowed 15 <em>total<\/em> rushing yards to opposing QBs this season. But that doesn&#8217;t faze me. Fields is an elite running QB who can make anyone miss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118987\">Embed: #118987<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL Week 6 best bets made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 10\/09\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our staff&#8217;s Week 6 best bets feature a pair of ATS predictions, one moneyline pick and a prop bet. The Week 6 narrative: Rest advantages are huge in the NFL, and the Pittsburgh Steelers have a massive one over the Cleveland Browns. Elsewhere, Justin Fields is a solid candidate to run wild against the Denver [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":374171,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-374118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 6 best bets: Staff predictions &amp; recommendations | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 NFL Week 6 staff best bets. 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