{"id":373996,"date":"2025-10-08T11:33:30","date_gmt":"2025-10-08T15:33:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=373996"},"modified":"2025-10-08T11:33:30","modified_gmt":"2025-10-08T15:33:30","slug":"mlb-blue-jays-vs-yankees-alds-game-4-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-blue-jays-vs-yankees-alds-game-4-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game 4 ALDS picks: Bet on Judge and Varsho, fade Schlittler in the Bronx"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have another crack at eliminating the New York Yankees from the ALDS when they face off in the Bronx on Wednesday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Did the series just flip on Aaron Judge&#8217;s bat, or can Toronto push through the adversity to clinch an ALCS spot? The odds suggest we&#8217;ll see a winner-take-all Game 5 on Friday. Toronto is an underdog tonight as it turns to its bullpen against New York&#8217;s Cam Schlittler, who is fresh off a heroic wild-card effort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks for Game 4 in the Bronx, featuring prop recommendations on Schlittler, Judge, and Daulton Varsho. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Jays F5 +0.5 (-106)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s time to see what Toronto is made of after blowing a 6-1 early lead yesterday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>John Schneider used six bullpen arms in the loss, but each of them will be ready to go today. Louis Varland, who gave up the collosoal game-tying HR to Judge, will start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I can&#8217;t blame Varland for that piece of world-class hitting (more on Judge later), and expect him to shove. The fireballing righty had given up just one run in nine prior appearances while striking out 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this pick is more about Toronto&#8217;s offence and Schlittler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jays&#8217; bats have been red-hot to start this series, scoring a combined 14 runs in the first five innings. Overall, it averaged the eighth-most F5 runs in MLB this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Schlittler is fresh off throwing eight scoreless innings against the Red Sox with 12 Ks. But is that because he&#8217;s really good, or because Boston is really mediocre? Probably a bit of both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All I know is that Toronto has roughed him up twice this year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Sept. 5: <\/strong>1.2 IP, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 R<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>July 22:<\/strong> 5.0 IP,  7 H, 3 BB, 2 R<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In those two outings, the Jays hit a combined .435 off him with as many walks as strikeouts (four). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The righty has command issues, and Toronto is one of the best teams in the majors at making opponents work deep into counts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think the Jays can take an early lead in Game 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Toronto is 7-1 against this line in its last eight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB postseason predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Judge over 1.5 bases (-108):<\/strong> Judge took a 100 mph fastball on the hands and belted it off the foul pole last night. It was one of the most clutch hits you&#8217;ll ever see.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">AARON JUDGE OFF THE FOUL POLE!<br><br>TIE GAME!!! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/ALDS?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#ALDS<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rplPnEsRoH\">pic.twitter.com\/rplPnEsRoH<\/a><\/p>&mdash; MLB (@MLB) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MLB\/status\/1975743095359643661?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the postseason, he&#8217;s batting an otherworldly .500\/.577\/.727 and is 5-1 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lot of those hits came in low-leverage situations, but Judge showed up in the bright lights yesterday, and I have to believe he&#8217;ll keep things rolling. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back the AL&#8217;s total base leader to stay hot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Schlittler under 4.5 Ks (+105):<\/strong> Fading Schlittler might seem scary. After all, the rookie has cleared this mark in almost every start of his young MLB career, going 12-3 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But two of the outliers came against the Blue Jays, and I think Toronto gives him more trouble tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Schlittler has a 14.3% K rate against the Jays and a 27.6% K rate overall. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Toronto has the lowest K rate in the majors, and held two strong swing-and-miss arms \u2014 Max Fried and Carlos Rodon \u2014 well below this number. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Those southpaws combined for three Ks in 5.1 IP while giving up 13 runs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>New York would love to get another eight-inning gem from Schlittler, but I just don&#8217;t see that happening. Aaron Boone will be ready to use his bullpen at the first sign of real stress after how well it performed last night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays best bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Varsho over 0.5 hits (-130)<\/strong>: Bettors won&#8217;t have to worry about Varsho being yanked for a platoon advantage later in the game, because the centre fielder&#8217;s gold glove is his greatest asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But let&#8217;s talk about his hitting for a second.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Varsho is 7-for-12 this series and is now batting .419 over his last eight games. In that span, he is 7-1 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The stocky outfielder is seeing the ball well right now and recorded a hit against Schlittler on Sept. 5. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks made at 8:45 a.m. on 10\/08\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have another crack at eliminating the New York Yankees from the ALDS when they face off in the Bronx on Wednesday. The pregame narrative: Did the series just flip on Aaron Judge&#8217;s bat, or can Toronto push through the adversity to clinch an ALCS spot? The odds suggest we&#8217;ll see a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":373968,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-373996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks and best bets: ALDS Game 4 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks for Oct. 8, 2025. 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