{"id":373975,"date":"2025-10-08T11:26:13","date_gmt":"2025-10-08T15:26:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=373975"},"modified":"2025-10-08T11:26:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-08T15:26:13","slug":"dodgers-vs-phillies-predictions-nlds-game-3-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dodgers-vs-phillies-predictions-nlds-game-3-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Dodgers vs. Phillies Game 3 NLDS SGP predictions: Back Mookie Betts, Alec Bohm in +320 wager"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers can punch their NLCS ticket on Wednesday when they host the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of the divisional series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> After picking up a pair of wins in Philadelphia, the Dodgers are favoured to complete the sweep tonight behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Phillies turn to long-time stud Aaron Nola in this do-or-die matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions for Oct. 8, featuring prop bets on Mookie Betts and Alec Bohm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Phillies +3.5 | Bohm to record a hit | Betts over 1.5 bases (+320)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Phillies +3.5 (-480):<\/strong> I don&#8217;t expect the 96-win Phillies to roll over tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia went 44-37 on the run line this year as visitors, with a +0.4 average margin of victory. It has covered this huge number in seven of eight games against L.A., including both this series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yamamoto is an elite arm who will likely keep scoring down, but I think Philly can hold serve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nola hasn&#8217;t had a great season by any means, but has held this Dodgers lineup to a collective .220 batting average over a 262 plate appearance sample size.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it&#8217;s expected Ranger Suarez (3.20 ERA, 1.22 WHIP) will be available out of the pen if things get dicey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118957\">Embed: #118957<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Bohm to record a hit<\/strong> (-175):<\/strong> Bohm is a solid candidate to get after Yamamoto. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The third baseman is just 1-for-6 in this series, but is coming off a scorching September where he slashed .345\/.371\/.534.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is an elite contact hitter, ranking in the 80th percentile or higher in xBA (.284), whiff rate (14.6%) and K rate (16.3%). Pair that with a 20th percentile walk rate (5.3%) and you&#8217;ve got a great recipe for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bohm is 0-for-3 against Yamamoto but has never struck out, and never whiffed on a pitch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That gives me confidence he&#8217;ll put the ball in play and come through with a hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Betts over 1.5 bases <\/strong>(+108):<\/strong> Adding Betts to clear this total more than triples the SGPs value from -125 to +320. That&#8217;s all due to the negative correlation between him performing and Philly covering +3.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I already explained why I think Philadelphia can comfortably cover that number, and will let Betts&#8217; stats speak for themselves:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>In the playoffs:<\/strong> .389\/.421\/.556, three XBH<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>In September:<\/strong> .299\/.343\/.557, 12 XBH<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>vs. Nola<\/strong>: 9-for-23 (.391), one double, two HR<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Betts is red-hot, facing a pitcher he&#8217;s dominated before, and has protection batting behind Shohei Ohtani. I love the value here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions as of 10:30 a.m. on 10\/08\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers can punch their NLCS ticket on Wednesday when they host the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of the divisional series. The pregame narrative: After picking up a pair of wins in Philadelphia, the Dodgers are favoured to complete the sweep tonight behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Phillies turn to long-time stud Aaron [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":373988,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-373975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions: NLDS Game 3 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dodgers vs. Phillies predictions for NLDS Game 3. 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