{"id":373461,"date":"2025-10-05T11:51:29","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T15:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=373461"},"modified":"2025-10-05T11:51:30","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T15:51:30","slug":"patriots-vs-bills-snf-week-5-td-picks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/patriots-vs-bills-snf-week-5-td-picks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Patriots vs. Bills Week 5 SNF TD picks: Bet on Josh Allen to have a record breaking performance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills meet in primetime in Week 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Josh Allen can set an NFL record on Sunday Night Football if he has another touchdown-filled evening. Look for the star quarterback to flaunt his dual-threat skills in a pivotal AFC East matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our top Patriots vs. Bills SNF TD picks, featuring wagers on Allen and Keon Coleman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Patriots vs. Bills TD picks: Week 5<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Allen to score a TD (-134)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen is tied with Cam Newton for the most games in NFL history with both a passing and rushing touchdown (45).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He can take sole possession of that record on Sunday night, and I expect him to do so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Allen has three rushing touchdowns in four games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s rushed the ball 6+ times in three of four games, setting a high floor as a runner.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This is nothing new for the superstar QB. He has 30 rushing TDs since the start of the 2023 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen has run the ball 10 times in the red zone this season, leading to three scores. Only Jalen Hurts has more QB carries inside the 20-yard line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England&#8217;s defence blitzes over 20% of the time but has an abysmal 2.9% hurry rate. That would work against this wager for a pocket QB, but Allen will use the time to set up runs if his receivers are covered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat: <\/strong>Allen has scored in eight of his last 11 regular-season games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\"><strong>Full NFL markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standingshttps:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\"><strong>NFL player &amp; team stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">&nbsp;Sunday Night Football TD picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Coleman to score a TD (+175): <\/strong>Coleman looked like a breakout candidate after his Week 1 performance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>11 targets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>8 receptions<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>112 yards <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1 touchdown<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In three games since, he has 11 targets, nine receptions and 91 receiving yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are still some strong positives to look at, though. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coleman has played 31 more snaps than any other Bills receiver, and he&#8217;s upped his catch rate significantly in his second season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Year 1:<\/strong> 50.9%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Year 2:<\/strong> 77.3%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s clearly improved, and I think a solid season is still within the cards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coleman is the only player on the Bills to be targeted multiple times this season inside 10 yards, and he caught both passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sean McDermott should look to utilize his young receiver even more in the red zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Patriots vs. Bills TD picks made at 10:27 a.m. ET on 10\/05\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills meet in primetime in Week 5. The pregame narrative: Josh Allen can set an NFL record on Sunday Night Football if he has another touchdown-filled evening. Look for the star quarterback to flaunt his dual-threat skills in a pivotal AFC East matchup. Check out our top Patriots vs. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":373481,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-373461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Patriots vs. Bills SNF TD picks: Week 5 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 5 Patriots vs. Bills TD picks. 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