{"id":372617,"date":"2025-10-02T13:33:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T17:33:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=372617"},"modified":"2025-10-02T13:33:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T17:33:19","slug":"red-sox-vs-yankees-predictions-game-3-mlb-wild-card-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/red-sox-vs-yankees-predictions-game-3-mlb-wild-card-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Red Sox vs. Yankees Game 3 wild-card SGP predictions: Bet on Judge, Bellinger in decisive matchup"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees square off in a win-or-go-home matchup on Thursday night to advance to the ALDS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> A pair of promising rookie pitchers, Connelly Early and Cam Schlittler, take the mound in their clubs&#8217; biggest game of the season. The Yankees have never faced Early, but there are some menacing sluggers in their lineup who thrive against left-handed pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my +310 Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions for Game 3, featuring prop bets on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/aaron_judge\/batting-stats\">Aaron Judge<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/cody_bellinger\/batting-stats\">Cody Bellinger<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/ceddanne_rafaela\/batting-stats\">Cedanne Rafaela<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Judge over 1.5 bases | Bellinger 1+ hits | Rafaela under 1.5 bases (+310)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Judge over 1.5 total bases (-106):<\/strong> Judge is the best hitter on the planet overall, and he&#8217;s the best hitter against left-handed pitching, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>During the regular season, Judge posted a .341\/.491\/.789 slash line vs. LHPs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>His OPS (1.280), wRC+ (225) and ISO (.447) vs. LHPs all led the majors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Judge is 4-for-8 so far in this series, cashing this bet in both games. He&#8217;s now 81-73 against this prop on the season as a whole. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Early has been nasty so far, posting a 2.33 ERA with 29 strikeouts in 19.1 innings. But Judge mashes southpaws, and this price is more than fair to back the AL MVP-in-waiting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118631\">Embed: #118631<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bellinger 1+ hits (-210):<\/strong> Judge isn&#8217;t the only Yankee who excels against LHPs. Bellinger finished third in the regular season in wRC+ against southpaws (180) with a .353 batting average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Typically, lefty-on-lefty matchups put hitters at a disadvantage. But Bellinger is an exception to the rule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Early throws a combination of sinkers, sweepers and four-seamers roughly two-thirds of the time when facing left-handed batters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bellinger has a .385\/.443\/.644 slash line against those pitches from LHPs this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past 34 games, Bellinger has cashed this bet 26 times (76.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rafaela under 1.5 total bases (-250):<\/strong> Given that Schlittler throws gas, I wanted to fade a Red Sox hitter who struggles to handle the heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rafaela is that guy, as he&#8217;s just 5-for-33 (.152) with zero extra-base hits this season against pitches that are 97 mph or above, per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Schlittler&#8217;s four-seamer and sinker both sit north of 97 mph. On the four-seamer in particular, opponents are batting .176 with a .279 SLG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rafaela is hitless in this series (0-for-6). This under is now 18-5 in his past 23 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions as of 12:26 p.m. on 10\/02\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees square off in a win-or-go-home matchup on Thursday night to advance to the ALDS. The pregame narrative: A pair of promising rookie pitchers, Connelly Early and Cam Schlittler, take the mound in their clubs&#8217; biggest game of the season. The Yankees have never faced Early, but there [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":372650,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-372617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions: Game 3 wild-card SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions for Oct. 2, 2025. 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