{"id":372105,"date":"2025-09-30T10:01:57","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T14:01:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=372105"},"modified":"2025-09-30T10:32:43","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T14:32:43","slug":"mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB wild-card Game 1 best bets: Bet the over for Padres vs. Cubs, look for Jose Ramirez to rake"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>All four MLB wild-card series begin on Tuesday, and I&#8217;ve got plays from three of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> As is typically the case when the playoffs begin, the projected run totals for today&#8217;s games are quite low. I&#8217;ve got the over in one game and the under in another, along with a prop bet on Jose Ramirez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my MLB wild-card best bets for Game 1 action on Sept. 30, including an over\/under prediction for the San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB wild-card best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Reds\/Dodgers under 7 runs (-112)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Cincinnati Reds are going to have any shot at shocking the Los Angeles Dodgers, Hunter Greene will need to shove. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on how he&#8217;s fared all season, and especially in September, I like Greene&#8217;s chances of quieting the Dodgers&#8217; potent lineup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In five starts this month, Greene has a 2.64 ERA, a .152 opponent BA and an 11.2 K\/9.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 19 starts on the season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This under has cashed or pushed in 11 of Greene&#8217;s 19 starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Greene sits at 99 mph with his fastball, and he works off that with a slider that has a 46.9% whiff rate, per Baseball Savant. That&#8217;s the ninth-highest whiff rate of any qualified pitch this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s nasty stuff that can keep any lineup guessing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A. guessed right more than I would&#8217;ve liked when Greene last pitched in this matchup, as he yielded five runs (three earned) over 5.0 innings in one of his worst starts of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even so, this total pushed as the Reds were held scoreless in a 7-0 loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cincinnati&#8217;s hapless offence is just as key to this wager as Greene&#8217;s excellence. The Reds have a .694 OPS as a team this month, which is the second-worst among all playoff clubs \u2014 ahead of only the Tigers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the season, Cincinnati posted a 92 wRC+ (24th in MLB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two-time Cy Young winner Blake Snell (5-4, 2.35 ERA) starts for the Dodgers. He has a 2.09 ERA and an 11.4 K\/9 in his past eight outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Cincinnati&#8217;s active lineup is just 5-for-48 (.104) with 12 strikeouts against Snell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118555\">Embed: #118555<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">More wild-card predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Padres\/Cubs over 7 runs (-112): <\/strong>This will be the third time Matthew Boyd and Nick Pivetta square off this season, and I think that familiarity works in the favour of the hitters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both lineups already have solid numbers against these pitchers, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Padres vs. Boyd:<\/strong> 19-for-68 (.279), .412 SLG, 17.6 K%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Cubs vs. Pivetta:<\/strong> 32-for-106 (.302), .491 SLG, 27.4 K%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>San Diego and Chicago are both swinging the bats well lately, which certainly doesn&#8217;t hurt. They rank seventh and fourth, respectively, in wRC+ over the past 30 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ramirez over 1.5 total bases (+140):<\/strong> Tarik Skubal is a menacing opponent for any hitter, but Ramirez has managed to put together plenty of good at-bats in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The switch-hitting third baseman is 12-for-36 with a triple and three doubles vs. Skubal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This will be Ramirez&#8217;s third time seeing Skubal in less than two weeks. In the two previous games, he went 2-for-5 with a walk.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ramirez enters with a .301\/.393\/.548 slash line over his past 25 games. He&#8217;s 13-12 vs. this prop in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At this price, J-Ram has value to stay hot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB wild-card best bets made at 9:37 a.m. ET on 09\/30\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All four MLB wild-card series begin on Tuesday, and I&#8217;ve got plays from three of them. The pregame narrative: As is typically the case when the playoffs begin, the projected run totals for today&#8217;s games are quite low. I&#8217;ve got the over in one game and the under in another, along with a prop bet [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":372176,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-372105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday&#039;s playoff games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday&#039;s playoff games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-30T14:01:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-30T14:32:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/CP174998276-scaled.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/\",\"name\":\"MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-30T14:01:57+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-30T14:32:43+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday's playoff games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday's playoff games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday's playoff games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-09-30T14:01:57+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-09-30T14:32:43+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1707,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/CP174998276-scaled.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/","name":"MLB wild-card best bets Game 1: Sept. 30 | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-09-30T14:01:57+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-30T14:32:43+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our MLB wild-card best bets Game 1 for Sept. 30, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Tuesday's playoff games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-wild-card-best-bets-game-1-september-30-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/372105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=372105"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/372105\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":372194,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/372105\/revisions\/372194"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/372176"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=372105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=372105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=372105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}