{"id":371959,"date":"2025-09-29T14:39:06","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T18:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=371959"},"modified":"2025-09-29T14:39:06","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T18:39:06","slug":"nfl-week-5-upset-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-5-upset-picks-and-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 5 upset picks: Back the Browns to win as underdogs in London"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A pick on Sunday&#8217;s international game headlines my NFL Week 5 upset predictions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Cleveland Browns have been fiesty in the early goings and could be a problem for the Minnesota Vikings in London. Later on, take the value on the New England Patriots against the undefeated Buffalo Bills.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top Week 5 NFL upset picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL upset picks: Week 5<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\/matches\"><strong>Full NFL markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/top-players\/passing-yards\"><strong>NFL player &amp; team stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report-news\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\"><strong>NFL standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Browns moneyline (+160)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even though Cleveland is 1-3, there is a lot to like moving forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The defence is legit:<\/strong> Getting lit up by the Detroit Lions&#8217; offence is something that will happen. Cleveland still leads the NFL in yards allowed per play (4.1).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Quinshon Judkins is a star:<\/strong> The first-round running back leads rookies in rushing yards per game (79.0).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Vikings just got demolished on the ground by the Pittsburgh Steelers with Kenneth Gainwell as the lead back. He ran the ball 19 times for a career-high 99 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And while there&#8217;s hope that J.J. McCarthy returns, the Vikings may remain very cautious with their young quarterback&#8217;s high ankle sprain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That leaves Carson Wentz. He needed to do more in Week 4, and he struggled in the first half. He did finish with 350 yards passing, but his decision-making and two turnovers cost Minnesota in the end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if McCarthy comes back, he hasn&#8217;t played football in a few weeks and should struggle against the Browns&#8217; pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Cleveland has the fourth-highest sack percentage in the NFL (9.24%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">NFL underdog predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Patriots moneyline (+300):<\/strong> How good do the Patriots look so far?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Drake Maye has been incredible as a sophomore. His play, mixed with some strong defence, has New England sitting at 2-2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Josh Allen is a pretty sizable favourite to win MVP, and Maye has been on par with him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Allen: <\/strong>964 yards, 7 TDs, 1 INT, 109.7 passer rating<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Maye:<\/strong> 988 yards, 7 TDs, 2 INTs, 109.4 passer rating<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This New England squad is much better than in past years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo is 4-0 but had issues putting away the Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints in the past two weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bills are the better team, no doubt, but there&#8217;s certainly value on the Patriots at this price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England is 2-2 against Buffalo over the past two seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL upset picks made at 9:10 a.m. ET on 09\/29\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pick on Sunday&#8217;s international game headlines my NFL Week 5 upset predictions. The pregame narrative: The Cleveland Browns have been fiesty in the early goings and could be a problem for the Minnesota Vikings in London. Later on, take the value on the New England Patriots against the undefeated Buffalo Bills. Check out my [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":371827,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-371959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL upset picks: 2025 Week 5 underdog predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 5 NFL upset picks. 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