{"id":371509,"date":"2025-09-27T15:09:40","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T19:09:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=371509"},"modified":"2025-09-27T15:09:41","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T19:09:41","slug":"bengals-vs-broncos-week-4-monday-night-football-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bengals-vs-broncos-week-4-monday-night-football-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Bengals vs. Broncos Week 4 Monday Night Football picks: Take Denver to cover, Dobbins to run wild"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the second half of this week&#8217;s Monday Night Football doubleheader, the Denver Broncos host the Cincinnati Bengals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Denver is a 7.5-point favourite against a Cincinnati squad that looked lost on the road last week. J.K. Dobbins has scored in every game so far with his new team and should be a factor in the running game again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Bengals vs. Broncos picks for the Monday Night Football matchup on Sept. 29.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bengals vs. Broncos picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\/matches\"><strong>Full NFL markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/top-players\/passing-yards\"><strong>NFL player &amp; team stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report-news\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\"><strong>NFL standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Dobbins over 59.5 rushing yards (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a clear-cut RB1 in Denver, and it&#8217;s not R.J. Harvey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After the Broncos selected Harvey in the second round of the 2025 draft, many thought he could ascend to the top of the depth chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And maybe Harvey&#8217;s time will come, but for now, Dobbins has a stronghold on the primary role in Denver&#8217;s backfield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dobbins has out-touched Harvey, 45-18. In the running game, Dobbins has had at least nine more carries than Harvey in every matchup.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dobbins has had a 55% snap share, while Harvey&#8217;s snap share is just 30%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s been a frustrating, injury-riddled career so far for Dobbins, but he finally put together a mostly healthy season in 2024. Over 13 games with the Chargers, he rushed for 905 yards and nine TDs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Through three games with the Broncos, Dobbins is on a full-season pace of 1,258 rushing yards. He has also scored in each game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past two weeks, the Bengals have coughed up 5.3 yards per rush to the Jaguars and Vikings. Both of their starting running backs cashed this bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dobbins is coming off his best game with Denver (11 carries, 83 yards, one TD) and should exceed this fairly modest line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Since the start of last season, Dobbins has averaged 70.4 rushing yards\/game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other Monday Night Football picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Broncos -7.5 (-106):<\/strong> I expect Denver&#8217;s pressure-packed defence to torment Jake Browning at home in prime time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Broncos have the highest pressure rate in the NFL (39.2%), according to Sports Reference. They&#8217;re tied for the NFL lead with 12 sacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Browning was consistently flustered last week in a 48-10 road loss against the Vikings. They sacked him three times and forced two interceptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Obviously, Cincinnati is a much different team without Joe Burrow under centre. Denver covered this number in its first home game of the season, and I expect that to happen again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Bengals vs. <em>Broncos<\/em><\/em> <em>picks made at 3:09 p.m. ET 09\/27\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the second half of this week&#8217;s Monday Night Football doubleheader, the Denver Broncos host the Cincinnati Bengals. The pregame narrative: Denver is a 7.5-point favourite against a Cincinnati squad that looked lost on the road last week. J.K. Dobbins has scored in every game so far with his new team and should be a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":371481,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-371509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bengals vs. Broncos picks MNF: 2025 NFL Week 4 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 4 Bengals vs. Broncos picks. 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