{"id":371462,"date":"2025-09-27T12:38:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T16:38:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=371462"},"modified":"2025-09-27T12:38:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T16:38:11","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-september-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-september-27\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Sept. 27: Back Ketel Marte, Nick Kurtz to do damage on Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The AL Rookie of the Year in waiting, Nick Kurtz, headlines Saturday&#8217;s MLB prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Kurtz has destroyed right-handed pitching all season, and he faces a struggling one at the hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park. I&#8217;m betting on him to hit for power in this plus matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out how I&#8217;m betting on them in the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 27, featuring Ketel Marte and Eury Perez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet:<strong> Kurtz over 1.5 total bases (-118)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurtz has two games remaining to put a bow on his historic rookie campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So far, the 22-year-old has belted 35 home runs and ranks third in MLB in OPS (1.001). The only players ahead of him? Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The vast majority of that damage has been inflicted against RHPs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.338\/.340\/.719 slash line<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>27 of 35 HRs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>22 of 26 doubles<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurtz was held hitless last night, but went 3-for-5 with a pair of home runs on Thursday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He should have a good chance of rebounding against Kansas City Royals righty, Michael Wacha. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wacha has a 7.88 ERA across his last five starts, ceding 34 hits in 24.0 IP. He&#8217;s only walked five batters in that span with a 16% K rate, which is right in line with his season-long profile (14th-percentile K rate, 83rd-percentile BB rate).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurtz should get something to hit at Sutter Health Park, the second-best offensive environment in MLB, per Baseball Savant&#8217;s park factors data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Kurtz leads MLB in wRC+ against RHPs (212).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Marte over 1.5 total bases (+120)<\/strong>: The Arizona Diamondbacks&#8217; current three-game losing streak ended their postseason chances, but Marte was solid in those outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>5-for-13<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2 doubles, 1 HR<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3-0 vs. this prop<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>And dating back to Sept. 16, he&#8217;s posted a .350\/.381\/.625 slash line with eight extra-base hits and just one walk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s what I like to see when targeting a bases prop. Tonight, he&#8217;ll go up against San Diego&#8217;s Michael King, which isn&#8217;t an easy assignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But King is making just his fourth start since returning from the injured list and will likely be on a pitch count after throwing no more than 70 pitches since May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marte is also 2-for-6 against King.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Perez under 14.5 outs (+115):<\/strong> There&#8217;s a world where the New York Mets are eliminated from the postseason tonight (with a loss, plus a Cincinnati Reds win).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don&#8217;t see that happening, though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perez is on the bump for the opposing Miami Marlins, and he&#8217;s gotten shelled by New York.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets are batting .471 off him in 23 combined plate appearances. He lasted just 0.2 innings agianst them on Aug. 29, giving up five earned runs with zero strikeouts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The start after that, Perez coughed up seven ER in 4.0 IP against the Washington Nationals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The righty has gone under this mark in four of his last seven outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 10:25 a.m. ET on 09\/27\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The AL Rookie of the Year in waiting, Nick Kurtz, headlines Saturday&#8217;s MLB prop bets. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Kurtz has destroyed right-handed pitching all season, and he faces a struggling one at the hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park. I&#8217;m betting on him to hit for power in this plus matchup. Check out how I&#8217;m betting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":371445,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-371462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Sept. 27: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Sept. 27, 2025. 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