{"id":371277,"date":"2025-09-26T11:48:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T15:48:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=371277"},"modified":"2025-09-26T11:48:47","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T15:48:47","slug":"nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-td-picks-and-predictions-week-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 4 TD picks and predictions: Bhayshul Tuten has value, A.J. Brown should build off breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/a_j_brown\">A.J. Brown<\/a> got back to doing A.J. Brown things last week, and I expect another big game out of the Philadelphia Eagles&#8217; WR1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Brown, who broke out in Week 3 after a pair of disappointing performances, should be at the centre of Philly&#8217;s offensive plans this Sunday. Later in the day, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/bhayshul_tuten\">Bhayshul Tuten<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/rome_odunze\">Rome Odunze<\/a> both hold value as youngsters on the rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top Week 4 NFL TD picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL TD picks: Week 4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Tuten anytime TD (+225)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think Tuten is teeming with value to score a touchdown in Week 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fourth-round rookie impressed the Jacksonville Jaguars enough to make Tank Bigsby expendable, and now he&#8217;s carving out a steady RB2 role for the team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Travis Etienne will presumably retain the bulk of the touches for the foreseeable future, but Tuten deserves to be involved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tuten doesn&#8217;t have a negative play yet through three weeks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has a touch inside the 10-yard line in back-to-back games and scored a TD on both.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Over the past two games, Tuten has turned 16 total touches into 95 scrimmage yards.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville faces the San Francisco 49ers, who have allowed just 16.3 points per game so far (second-lowest in the NFL). So I wouldn&#8217;t call this a smash play based on the matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Tuten is absolutely holding value right now as an emerging rookie who&#8217;s making the most of the opportunities in front of him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Tuten received the Jaguars&#8217; lone carry inside the five-yard line in Week 3, and he scored on it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118403\">Embed: #118403<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">Full NFL markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standingshttps:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">NFL player &amp; team stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Best NFL touchdown bets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Brown anytime TD (+150): <\/strong>Brown looked like himself again in Week 3, snagging six catches for 109 yards and a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After seeing only nine targets through Weeks 1 and 2 \u2014 with zero red zone looks \u2014 Brown had 10 targets in Week 3 (including a trio of red zone targets).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brown and the Eagles will face a Buccaneers defence that has been superb against the run. Tampa Bay&#8217;s defence ranks No. 1 in EPA per rush and No. 2 in rush success rate, per RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Eagles&#8217; rushing attack gets jammed up, Brown should get even more chances as the primary option through the air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two years ago, in his last matchup against the Bucs, Brown caught nine of 14 targets for 131 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Odunze anytime TD (+143):<\/strong> I think this week&#8217;s Raiders\/Bears game has shootout potential, and Odunze should be a beneficiary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Las Vegas&#8217; defence ranks 27th in EPA per dropback and 21st in dropback success rate. This is a team Caleb Williams should be able to throw against.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking of Williams, he&#8217;s coming off his best game as a pro (298 yards, four TDs, 142.6 passer rating). One of his four touchdown passes went to Odunze, who led the Bears with seven targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Odunze has 4 of 9 red zone targets among Chicago WRs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has 4 TDs on the season, cashing this bet in all three games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has four catches of 20+ yards in the past two weeks, so there&#8217;s big-play potential here, too.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL TD picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 09\/26\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A.J. Brown got back to doing A.J. Brown things last week, and I expect another big game out of the Philadelphia Eagles&#8217; WR1. The pregame narrative: Brown, who broke out in Week 3 after a pair of disappointing performances, should be at the centre of Philly&#8217;s offensive plans this Sunday. Later in the day, Bhayshul [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":371295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-371277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL TD picks: 2025 Week 4 best bets and predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 4 NFL TD picks. 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