{"id":370220,"date":"2025-09-20T10:19:57","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T14:19:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=370220"},"modified":"2025-09-20T10:19:57","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T14:19:57","slug":"blue-jays-picks-and-predictions-vs-royals-september-20-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-and-predictions-vs-royals-september-20-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Royals picks and predictions Sept. 20: Look for Toronto to bounce back behind Shane Bieber"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays look to avoid another series loss against the Kansas City Royals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> After last night&#8217;s 20-1 blowout loss, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/shane_bieber\/pitching-stats\">Shane Bieber<\/a> is tasked with leading a bounce-back effort for Toronto. The Royals counter with rookie left-handed pitcher Noah Cameron.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Royals for the Sept. 20 game at Kauffman Stadium, featuring prop predictions on Bieber and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/george_springer\/batting-stats\">George Springer<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Royals<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Blue Jays F5 +0.5 (-143)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things have been rocky for the Jays, but there&#8217;s a nice opportunity to rebound with Bieber on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He shoved in his last start, giving up four hits and one run while striking out five over six innings.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Jays provide good run support for Bieber. This wager is 4-1 in his five starts with Toronto.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Cameron starts for the Royals, and his base ERA (2.98) is very good, but his advanced stats show some good ball luck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>58th-percentile xERA (3.98)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>52nd-percentile xBA (.247)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Plus, his 4.71 ERA over his last five starts indicates some regression down the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto is in a tiny slump right now offensively, but the AL East leaders are very capable of a bounce-back performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Since the all-star break, the Blue Jays have the second-best batting average (.280), slugging (.465) and WRC+ (125) in MLB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118185\">Embed: #118185<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jays prop predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Springer over 1.5 total bases (-110): <\/strong>To start Friday&#8217;s chaotic game, Springer hit a leadoff homerun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And despite the recent lack of offence, Springer&#8217;s been consistently one of the best hitters in baseball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In the second half, the slugger leads MLB with a whopping 204 WRC+.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>During that time, he&#8217;s cleared this line 23 times.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In those 41 games, Springer has only gone hitless nine times. He has a sky-high floor on offence right now, and I want to back a prop completely in his control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bieber over 17.5 outs (-148)<\/strong>: If you can stomach the price, I think there&#8217;s strong value on this prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bieber&#8217;s pitched into the sixth inning in all five starts this season and is 3-2 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This line indicates an average performance, but I think he can shine against the Royals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They did score 20 runs yesterday, but seven were attributed to a poor start from Max Scherzer and Tyler Heineman, a catcher, allowed 10 runs in relief.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I want to focus on the matchup, and Bieber has dominated the Royals in his career. Their offence is a combined 17-for-76 (.223) against the righty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Blue Jays have needed a lot from their bullpen in recent weeks, so John Schneider should give Bieber a long leash for tonight&#8217;s contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 09\/20\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays look to avoid another series loss against the Kansas City Royals. The pregame narrative: After last night&#8217;s 20-1 blowout loss, Shane Bieber is tasked with leading a bounce-back effort for Toronto. The Royals counter with rookie left-handed pitcher Noah Cameron. Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Royals for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":370245,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10],"class_list":["post-370220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Royals: Sept. 20 MLB betting | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. the Royals on Sept. 20, 2025. 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