{"id":369733,"date":"2025-09-18T09:31:16","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T13:31:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=369733"},"modified":"2025-09-18T10:31:39","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T14:31:39","slug":"blue-jays-vs-rays-predictions-september-18-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-rays-predictions-september-18-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Rays SGP predictions Sep. 18: Back Brandon Lowe and Addison Barger at +400"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays close out their series with a matinee on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Toronto had its six-game winning streak snapped yesterday, but can still pick up a series win this afternoon in Florida. Chris Bassitt is pitching for the visitors opposite Shane Baz, and that matchup should lead to fireworks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions for Sept. 18, featuring prop bets on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/addison_barger\/batting-stats\">Addison Barger<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/brandon_lowe\/batting-stats\">Brandon Lowe<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Over 7.5 runs | Barger over 0.5 RBI | Lowe 1+ hit (+400)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Over 7.5 runs (-127)<\/a>:<\/strong> Why do I like the over? At the risk of sounding reductive, Bassitt has struggled on the road while Baz has gotten lit up at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bassitt on the road:<\/strong> 5.42 ERA, .281 ERA, 1.47 HR\/9<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Baz at home:<\/strong> 6.28 ERA, .278 OBA, 2.10 HR\/9<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Rays&#8217; temporary home venue, has been the 10th-best offensive environment in MLB this year, per Baseball Savant&#8217;s park factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s also been the fifth-most HR-friendly venue, which explains Baz&#8217;s horrific 2.10 HR\/9 rate. That would by far be the worst of any qualified pitcher over a whole season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bassitt has struggled with the long ball away from Rogers Centre and got rocked for five earned runs over 4.0 IP when he pitched here earlier this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This feels like a game where both offences can do some serious damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118071\">Embed: #118071<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\"><strong>Barger 1+ RBI <\/strong>(+160)<\/a>:<\/strong> According to Rotowire, Barger is slated to hit cleanup for the Jays today. That&#8217;s a prime spot for run production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>George Springer (.454 OBP) and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.407 OBP) both rank top 10 in MLB in on-base percentage since the all-star break. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And Nathan Lukes, who is slated to hit second, has a respectable .320 OBP against RHP. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barger is hitless in six plate appearances agianst Baz, but that doesn&#8217;t worry me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sophomore bat has seven RBI in his last six games, and Baz is coming off a disasterous start against the Chicago Cubs (2.1 IP, 5 ER).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\"><strong>Lowe 1+ hit <\/strong>(-195)<\/a>:<\/strong> Lowe is a Blue Jay killer and has done a <em>ton <\/em>of damage against Bassitt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s 10-for-17 with two doubles and four home runs. That nets out to an absurd .588 batting average and 1.412 slugging percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lowe has only walked once in those at-bats, which is good to see.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And his .480 xBA and 1.342 xSLG in those at-bats mean the results have been well earned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions as of 8:36 a.m. on 09\/18\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\"><em>Looking to get started? <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNzQxMyZsPTEzNTI3NDExJnA9MjMyNDM%3D\">Sign up here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays close out their series with a matinee on Thursday. The pregame narrative: Toronto had its six-game winning streak snapped yesterday, but can still pick up a series win this afternoon in Florida. Chris Bassitt is pitching for the visitors opposite Shane Baz, and that matchup should lead [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":369740,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-369733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions: Sept. 18 MLB SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions for Sept. 18, 2025. 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