{"id":369532,"date":"2025-09-17T12:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T16:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=369532"},"modified":"2025-09-17T12:00:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T16:00:09","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-september-17-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-september-17-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks Sept. 17: Back Jakob Marsee, George Springer on Wednesday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Toronto Blue Jays slugger <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/george_springer\/batting-stats\">George Springer<\/a> headlines Wednesday&#8217;s MLB home run picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative:<\/strong> Springer has been one of the best players in baseball since the all-star break and has solid value to go deep against Tampa Bay Rays reliever-turned-starter Ian Seymour. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for Sept. 17, featuring a pick on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jakob_marsee\/batting-stats\">Jakob Marsee<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Springer to hit a home run (+360)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Springer is having his best season as a Blue Jay, and arguably the best season of the second half of his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just look at what the veteran outfielder has done since the all-star break (MLB ranks in parentheses):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.372 BA (1st)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.667 SLG (2nd)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>210 wRC+ (1st)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.295 ISO (12th)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Springer has 13 home runs in that 39-game stretch, and three of those came against southpaws in 35 plate appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa Bay&#8217;s Seymour is making his fourth MLB start and his first at home. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things haven&#8217;t gone so well for the lefty at George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Rays&#8217; temporary home venue, in his outings as a reliever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 12.2 IP, Seymour has allowed a .296 opponent batting average and three home runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That shouldn&#8217;t be too surprising though, because George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the second-most HR-friendly venue for righty bats (33% more than league average).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Springer is slashing .345\/.457\/.690 against LHPs in the second half.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118052\">Embed: #118052<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-936075f6-af63-445a-a51c-d3fef94e8ec1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best HR predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Marsee to hit a home run (+510):<\/strong> Speaking of offence-friendly venues, Colorado&#8217;s Coors Field is the cream of the crop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The mile-high ballpark has been the best offensive environment in baseball over the last three seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marsee, who has been crushing it as a rookie for the Miami Marlins, got his first taste of Coors last night, and he delivered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He went 1-for-5 with a double and cashed two RBIs in a 6-5 win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lefty bat goes up against fellow rookie, right-hander McCade Brown, tonight, and he&#8217;s gotten lit up at home (14.29 ERA). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brown just allowed five hits and six earned runs (one HR) in 1.2 IP at Coors Field on Sept. 6. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marsee is slashing .311 with a .509 slugging percentage against righties this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB home run picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 09\/17\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays slugger George Springer headlines Wednesday&#8217;s MLB home run picks. Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative: Springer has been one of the best players in baseball since the all-star break and has solid value to go deep against Tampa Bay Rays reliever-turned-starter Ian Seymour. Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":369537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-369532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB home run picks Sept. 17: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Sept. 17, 2025. 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