{"id":369430,"date":"2025-09-19T11:17:36","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T15:17:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=369430"},"modified":"2025-09-22T08:43:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T12:43:11","slug":"nfl-week-3-staff-best-bets-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-3-staff-best-bets-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 3 staff best bets: Bet on Packers to destroy Browns, Bijan Robinson to rumble"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Our staff&#8217;s Week 3 best bet recommendations feature a pair of ATS picks, one moneyline wager and two prop bets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Week 3 narrative:<\/strong> The Green Bay Packers have looked unstoppable so far, and travel to Cleveland for a date with the downtrodden Browns. They&#8217;re one of two teams we&#8217;re backing as touchdown-plus favourites. On the prop market, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/bijan_robinson\">Bijan Robinson<\/a> should run over the Carolina Panthers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our NFL Week 3 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend, featuring predictions on quarterbacks <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/cam_ward\">Cam Ward<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/caleb_williams\">Caleb Williams<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 3 best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These NFL Week 3 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Jordan Horrobin, Avery Perri and Chris Toman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\">Full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\">NFL injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standings\">NFL stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ATS picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Buccaneers -7 (-113): <\/strong>The Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven&#8217;t covered this number yet, but they&#8217;re is 2-0 ATS with a pair of hard-fought road victories. The journey to a fifth consecutive division title is off to a great start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As for the New York Jets, last week&#8217;s 30-10 loss to the Buffalo Bills was a bitter reality check. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York will play on the road for the first time, and they&#8217;ll have to do so without quarterback Justin Fields, who suffered a concussion last Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fields&#8217; backup, Tyrod Taylor, last made a road start for the Giants (at Buffalo) in 2023. His team scored nine points in a loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last season, the Jets went 1-5 ATS as underdogs, per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Horrobin<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118096\">Embed: #118096<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Packers -7.5 (-112):<\/strong> Green Bay has begun this season in as impressive a fashion as possible. Opening with the Lions and Commanders \u2014 two teams that went 27-7 in the regular season last year \u2014 the Packers earned a pair of multi-score wins at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hitting the road poses a new challenge, but a feeble Browns team awaits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland has lost nine of its past 10 games dating back to last year, going 2-8 vs. a +7.5 spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Packers are 8-5 ATS as favourites since the start of the 2024 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Horrobin<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best moneyline bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Steelers moneyline (-118):<\/strong> Aaron Rodgers looked rough in Week 2, as the Steelers were downed by two scores at home by the Seattle Seahawks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh had an unlucky self-tipped goal-line interception and a fluky defensive touchdown after failing to recover a kickoff in its own end zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Clean up those mistakes, and it&#8217;s a much different ballgame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England isn&#8217;t a good football team, going 2-7 at home since the start of last season. The Patriots rank 25th so far in pass block win rate, so I expect T.J. Watt and Co. to make Drake Maye&#8217;s life miserable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Week 3 best bets: Player props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bijan Robinson over 83.5 rushing yards (-112): <\/strong>Robinson exploded on Sunday Night Football last week, turning 22 carries into 143 yards against the Minnesota Vikings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I expect another huge performance in Carolina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Panthers&#8217; defence ranked last in rushing yards per game (179.8), EPA per rush, and rush success rate last season, per RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And through two games so far, it has allowed 282 rushing yards (seventh-most). Travis Etienne Jr. smashed this number in Week 1 with 143 yards on 16 carries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robinson averaged 132.5 rushing yards against Carolina last year, going 2-0 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:118074\">Embed: #118074<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quarterback player prop picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cam Ward over 202.5 passing yards (-113):<\/strong> Ward hasn&#8217;t eclipsed this number yet, but should have enough time in the pocket to find receivers on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Indianapolis Colts rank last in pass rush win rate so far (19%) and sacked Bo Nix zero times in last week&#8217;s thriller. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ward has averaged 30.5 passing attempts per game, which is a healthy volume. He&#8217;s only converting those at a 50.8% clip, and I have to believe some positive regression is coming. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tyler Lockett and Calvin Ridley are a solid 1-2 receiving duo, and Indy&#8217;s top corner, Charvarius Ward, might not be at 100% returning from a concussion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Perri<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Caleb Williams over 27.5 rushing yards (-113)<\/strong>: Williams&#8217; Chicago Bears get the Dallas Cowboys, who allowed the most touchdowns and rushing yards per game to quarterbacks last season (per StatMuse). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Williams showed off his legs in Week 1, running for 58 yards on an average of 9.7 yards per carry, and he scored his first career rushing TD.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His Week 2 production dipped but was still solid. He averaged 5.4 yards per carry and managed 27 yards in a blowout loss to the Detroit Lions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit played comfortably&nbsp;ahead, so a better game script would have probably led to even greater Week 2 numbers. That&#8217;s what&nbsp;I expect Sunday vs. the Cowboys, a game that&#8217;s hovered in pick&#8217;em territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Russell Wilson reeled off 7.3 yards per carry against the Cowboys last week, but only rushed three times. In Week 1, Jalen Hurts shredded Dallas: 14 carries, 62 yards, two touchdowns.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Williams, meanwhile, rushed for 27+ yards in six of his final eight games as a rookie.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He has both floor and upside, rushing for 40-plus yards five times in his 19-game career, and averaging 30-plus yards\/game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On top of that, RB1 D&#8217;Andre Swift has been limited in practice this week with a quadriceps issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>-Toman<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL Week 3 best bets made at 11:06 a.m. ET on 09\/18\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our staff&#8217;s Week 3 best bet recommendations feature a pair of ATS picks, one moneyline wager and two prop bets. The Week 3 narrative: The Green Bay Packers have looked unstoppable so far, and travel to Cleveland for a date with the downtrodden Browns. They&#8217;re one of two teams we&#8217;re backing as touchdown-plus favourites. On [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":369761,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-369430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 3 best bets: Staff predictions &amp; recommendations | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 NFL Week 3 staff best bets. 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