{"id":368057,"date":"2025-09-09T11:57:39","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T15:57:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=368057"},"modified":"2025-09-09T11:57:39","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T15:57:39","slug":"commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Commanders vs. Packers Week 2 Thursday Night Football picks: Take Green Bay to cover, Doubs to make his mark"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A pair of NFC contenders kick off Week 2 on Thursday Night Football, as the Green Bay Packers host the Washington Commanders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Green Bay earned a statement win over the Detroit Lions in Week 1, while the Washington Commanders made quick work of the New York Giants. In this short-week showdown at Lambeau Field, the Packers are 3.5-point favourites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Commanders vs. Packers picks for the TNF matchup on Sept. 11, featuring prop bets on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/romeo_doubs\">Romeo Doubs<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/deebo_samuel\">Deebo Samuel<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Commanders vs. Packers picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Doubs 40+ receiving yards (-121)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a short week, the healthiest Packers receiver seems to be Doubs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay didn&#8217;t practice on Monday, but a trio of wideouts popped up on the injury report estimate: Matthew Golden (ankle, limited), Dontayvion Wicks (calf, limited) and Jayden Reed (foot, did not participate).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s nice to see that Doubs, who battled concussion issues a season ago, came out of Week 1 with a clean bill of health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In an offence believed to have a lot of WR2\/3 options, Doubs has the best chance early in the season to achieve WR1 status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He had a 71% snap share in Week 1, per Football Guys. No other receiver was above 48%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Last week, Doubs had 92 of the 196 air yards (46.9%) obtained by Green Bay&#8217;s WR corps.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Golden, Wicks and\/or Reed could all come off the injury report before Thursday, but it&#8217;s worth noting that Doubs seems to have a leg up on the rest of the WR room in terms of health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And though the Packers had a quiet day in the passing game against the Lions, Doubs led the way with a pair of catches for 68 yards on four targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Until Golden&#8217;s ascent as his rookie year progresses, I expect a healthy Doubs to be the lead dog of this group. With that in mind, 40 yards doesn&#8217;t seem like much of an ask.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Doubs went 8-5 vs. this yardage milestone in the regular season last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:117745\">Embed: #117745<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">Full NFL markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/standingshttps:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nfl\">NFL player &amp; team stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\"><strong>NFL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thursday Night Football ATS pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Packers -3.5 (-109):<\/strong> I hate the hook here, but I love what I saw out of the Packers in Week 1 against a Detroit Lions team that went 15-2 last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay built up a 27-6 lead before allowing a garbage-time touchdown in the final minute. Either way, it was a comfortable win as a -1.5 favourite over the NFC&#8217;s reigning No. 1 seed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Packers held the Lions to a feeble 3.8 yards per play \u2014 29th in the NFL \u2014 in Micah Parsons&#8217; debut. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Parsons only played 30 of a possible 67 snaps and should continue to ramp up following a soap-operatic offseason (he averaged 81.6% of snaps for the Cowboys last year).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fairness, the Commanders handled business in Week 1 as well, but that was against the lowly New York Giants. A primetime date at Lambeau will be a much tougher task.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since the start of last season, the Packers rank fifth in defensive EPA per play, according to rbsdm.com.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In the same span, Green Bay ranks eighth in offensive EPA per rush, and Washington is 29th in defensive EPA per rush.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Back Deebo after Washington debut<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Samuel over 4.5 receptions (+114):<\/strong> Not to be over-reactionary off one game, but Samuel was highly involved in his Commanders&#8217; debut, and I&#8217;d like to buy in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ex-49er had a team-high 10 targets, turning that into seven catches for 77 yards. He added one rush for 19 yards, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay did a great job preventing explosive plays in Week 1, and if that holds true on Thursday, Samuel should be the beneficiary of some underneath looks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Fantasy Pros, Samuel averaged 5.4 yards before catch per reception. He should be a viable safety valve for Jayden Daniels if Parsons and Co. are close to getting home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Commanders vs. Packers<\/em> <em>picks made at 11:43 a.m. ET 09\/09\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of NFC contenders kick off Week 2 on Thursday Night Football, as the Green Bay Packers host the Washington Commanders. The pregame narrative: Green Bay earned a statement win over the Detroit Lions in Week 1, while the Washington Commanders made quick work of the New York Giants. In this short-week showdown at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":368078,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-368057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/Deebo-Samuel-Romeo-Doubs.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/\",\"name\":\"Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB","description":"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB","og_description":"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/Deebo-Samuel-Romeo-Doubs.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/","name":"Commanders vs. Packers picks TNF: 2025 NFL Week 2 | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-09T15:57:39+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our 2025 Week 2 Commanders vs. Packers picks. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Green Bay on Sept. 11.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-packers-week-2-thursday-night-football-picks-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368057","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=368057"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368057\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":368080,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368057\/revisions\/368080"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/368078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=368057"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=368057"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=368057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}