{"id":366753,"date":"2025-09-04T11:21:18","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T15:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=366753"},"modified":"2025-09-04T13:27:13","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T17:27:13","slug":"us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"US Open women&#8217;s semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets on Sabalenka vs. Pegula, Osaka vs. Anisimova"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. Open women&#8217;s semifinal matches go down Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka&#8217;s title defence continues when she plays Jessica Pegula. After that, Naomi Osaka looks to reach her first Grand Slam final since 2021, but first she&#8217;ll need to overcome a very tough opponent in Amanda Anisimova.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top 2025 U.S. Open picks for the women&#8217;s semifinal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">US Open picks: Women&#8217;s semifinal<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: <strong>Osaka to win (<\/strong>-114)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s been quite the career renaissance for Osaka, who&#8217;s putting together her best season since being ranked No. 1 back in 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Osaka is 32-12 in 2025 (21-6 on hardcourts).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>She&#8217;s been dominant recently, winning 11 of her last 12 matches with nine of those victories coming in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>When she&#8217;s at her best, she&#8217;s one of the elite players on this surface, demonstrated by her 203-95 career record on hardcourts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>That is much better than Anisimova&#8217;s 116-68 hardcourt record (18-7 this season).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s still worth noting how well Anisimova is playing, though. She&#8217;s lost just one set at the U.S. Open and most recently eliminated Iga Swiatek in straight sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Osaka has notable wins of her own, beating No. 3-ranked Coco Gauff in straight sets before eliminating No. 13 Karolina Muchova in a similar fashion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the U.S. Open, Anisimova lost back-to-back matches convincingly. Meanwhile, Osaka has had one loss since the start of August in a close match against Victoria Mboko in the National Bank Open final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These two are evenly matched as seen by the pick&#8217;em price, but I&#8217;ll gladly back Osaka&#8217;s momentum and ability on hardcourts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: The Japanese star has been extremely good at taking advantage of break opportunities. At the U.S. Open, she has won 81% of her total break points (25-of-31) while Anisimova has converted at a measly 40% (23-of-57).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:117527\">Embed: #117527<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/tennis\">Full tennis betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">US Open best bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Sabalenka -1.5 sets (<\/strong>-107<\/strong>):<\/strong> This pick feels like a no-brainer. Sabalenka is the best in the world and has an advantageous matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The world No. 1 is the standard for consistency. She&#8217;s 54-10 this season, including a 30-5 record on hardcourts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pegula is having a great season herself, holding a 42-16 record (27-9 on this playing surface).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But when we look at their head-to-head history, it becomes apparent that Sabalenka is on a different level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sabalenka has won seven of the nine matches against Pegula in her career.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>At the 2024 U.S. Open, Sabalenka defeated Pegula in the final in straight sets (7-5, 7-5).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Overall, these two have played three times on hardcourts since the start of 2024, and the favourite is 3-0 in those contests without dropping a set.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The reigning champ has cruised through the event so far, winning four matches in straight sets before receiving a walkover in the quarterfinal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>She is well rested and has always had the upper hand on Pegula. I expect a dominant win en route to another Grand Slam final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sabalenka has won 15 of the 19 total sets played between these competitors. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>US Open picks made at 11:11 a.m. on 09\/04\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. Open women&#8217;s semifinal matches go down Thursday night. The pregame narrative: World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka&#8217;s title defence continues when she plays Jessica Pegula. After that, Naomi Osaka looks to reach her first Grand Slam final since 2021, but first she&#8217;ll need to overcome a very tough opponent in Amanda Anisimova. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":366819,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-366753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>US Open picks: Women&#039;s semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Open picks: Women&#039;s semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-04T15:21:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-04T17:27:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/Aryna-Sabalenka-Naomi-Osaka.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Spencer Closs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Spencer_Closs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Spencer Closs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/\",\"name\":\"US Open picks: Women's semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-04T15:21:18+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-04T17:27:13+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d\"},\"description\":\"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d\",\"name\":\"Spencer Closs\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Spencer Closs\"},\"description\":\"Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Spencer_Closs\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/scloss\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"US Open picks: Women's semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB","description":"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"US Open picks: Women's semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB","og_description":"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-09-04T15:21:18+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-09-04T17:27:13+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/09\/Aryna-Sabalenka-Naomi-Osaka.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Spencer Closs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@Spencer_Closs","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Spencer Closs","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/","name":"US Open picks: Women's semifinal predictions, best bets | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-09-04T15:21:18+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-04T17:27:13+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d"},"description":"Check out our US Open picks for the semifinal. Tennis betting odds, predictions and best bets for the 2025 Grand Slam at Flushing Meadows.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/us-open-tennis-picks-and-semifinal-best-bets-september-4-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d","name":"Spencer Closs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg","caption":"Spencer Closs"},"description":"Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.","sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/Spencer_Closs"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/scloss\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=366753"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366753\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":366901,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366753\/revisions\/366901"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/366819"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=366753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=366753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=366753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}