{"id":366415,"date":"2025-09-02T13:27:18","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:27:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=366415"},"modified":"2025-09-02T13:27:19","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:27:19","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-september-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-september-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Sept. 2: Target Aaron Judge, Jose Altuve and Gunnar Henderson on Tuesday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A pair of AL contenders clash on Tuesday, and I have my eyes on two sluggers at plus money in that matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Aaron Judge went through a cold spell recently, but he&#8217;s shaping back into form and has the right matchup to do damage. I&#8217;m also tapping into the Astros&#8217; lineup and backing Jose Altuve against Yankees starter Max Fried.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for Sept. 2, featuring a prediction on Gunnar Henderson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Henderson over 1.5 total bases (+115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\">The shortstop had a single and a walk in Monday&#8217;s series opener, falling short of this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Walks can be an issue when backing an over in the total bases market, but I&#8217;m not too concerned with Henderson&#8217;s average 9.0% walk rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s been seeing the ball well lately, too. Henderson has six hits in his last 19 plate appearances with just one strikeout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yu Darvish gets the start for the San Diego Padres, and he&#8217;s not been so good since coming back from his long injury recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 10 starts this season, the righty has a 5.66 ERA. That includes giving up nine earned runs over his past three outings (14.0 innings pitched).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s also a very limited sample size, but Henderson has a single and a double in three at-bats against Darvish in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Henderson will also enjoy the platoon advantage in this matchup. He bats .310 vs. righties with a .910 OPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Judge over 0.5 RBI (+140)<\/strong>: I couldn&#8217;t pass up on this value on Judge, especially with how he&#8217;s heating up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Over his last five games, he has seven hits, three home runs and four RBI.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In the seven games before that, he went 3-for-30 with 10 Ks, so it&#8217;s very encouraging to see the huge turnaround.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In 15 plate appearances against Framber Valdez, Judge has just three hits. But he does have four walks, equating to a .467 OBP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That tells me he reads the starter well but hasn&#8217;t seen much to get a hold of. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Valdez is a lefty after all and Judge crushes LHPs with a 1.227 OPS this season. He ranks sixth in MLB with 97 RBI despite missing time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Altuve over 0.5 runs (+140):<\/strong> This is a pick revolving mostly around Fried&#8217;s struggles against the Astros lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Altuve hits third in Houston&#8217;s order, usually behind the trio of Carlos Correa, Jesus Sanchez and Christian Walker.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The three have a combined .368 average in 38 career at-bats off Fried.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Altuve himself has been very successful in this matchup, with a .455 average and 1.318 OPS in 12 meetings with Fried.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The second baseman leads the Astros with 73 runs and should be in a great spot to add to that total on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Fried&#8217;s first start against Houston this season, Altuve hit a home run in the first inning and scored three runs total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 1:23 p.m. ET on 09\/03\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of AL contenders clash on Tuesday, and I have my eyes on two sluggers at plus money in that matchup. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Aaron Judge went through a cold spell recently, but he&#8217;s shaping back into form and has the right matchup to do damage. I&#8217;m also tapping into the Astros&#8217; lineup [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":366371,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-366415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Sept. 2: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Sept. 2, 2025. 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