{"id":365055,"date":"2025-08-25T15:53:45","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T19:53:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=365055"},"modified":"2025-08-25T15:53:45","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T19:53:45","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Back Emmet Sheehan and Kerry Carpenter, fade Spencer Strider"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Starting pitchers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/spencer_strider\/pitching-stats\">Spencer Strider<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/emmet_sheehan\/pitching-stats\">Emmet Sheehan<\/a> headline today&#8217;s top MLB prop picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Strider is having a horrific stretch, leading me to fade him against the Miami Marlins. As for Sheehan, I expect him to keep punching batters out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, featuring a prediction on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/kerry_carpenter\/batting-stats\">Kerry Carpenter<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Strider under 17.5 outs (-124)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strider has been obliterated in all three August starts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CHW: 3 IP, 10 H, 7 R, 2 HR, 1 BB, 2<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>NYM: 4 IP, 8 H, 8 R, 3 HR, 2 BB, 2 K<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>MIL: 4.2 IP, 11 H, 5 R, 2 HR, 1 BB, 6 K<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s a 15.43 ERA. Opponents are batting .475 off him this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His swing and miss and strikeout numbers have still largely been strong. But even if he can pile up Ks, which he hasn&#8217;t been doing as well as previous seasons, that&#8217;s a good way to run up a pitch count and prevent him from completing six frames.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 26-year-old has struggled with his control, too, which will also&nbsp;hurt him from working deep. He&#8217;s walked multiple batters in five of his last seven outings.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It all adds up to a pitcher who hasn&#8217;t been able to top this line consistently. Strider is 7-10 against this number in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Marlins aren&#8217;t the most potent offence but they&#8217;ve been walking at an above-average clip in the second half and have a 103 wRC+ vs. righties. So they aren&#8217;t exactly a pushover, either.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta&#8217;s rotation didn&#8217;t have a great weekend, but they were able to keep their reliever usage in check and got six innings out of Bryce Elder yesterday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Strider has gone under 17.5 outs in five consecutive outings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:117245\">Embed: #117245<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Carpenter over 1.5 total bases (-107)<\/strong>: Facing J.T. Ginn in his home park as a left-handed batter is a dream matchup, making Carpenter a worthwhile pick on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Detroit Tigers&#8217; middle-of-the-order threat is slugging .600 in the second half and .542 vs. right-handers this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sutter Health Park, the No. 2 offensive environment, according to Baseball Savant&#8217;s park factors, has not been kind to Ginn. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Athletics righty has a 6.75 ERA at home. Opponents are batting .293 off him and he&#8217;s allowed nine of his 13 homers. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lefties have demolished him, putting up a 1.057 OPS (.339\/.424\/.633 slash line). In his first taste of the bigs last year, left-handed batters hit .319 off Ginn and slugged .507. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sheehan over 5.5 Ks (+108)<\/strong>: The hard-throwing Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander faces a slumping Cincinnati Reds offence tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cincinnati has an 80 wRC+ this month (28th in MLB), striking out at the 12th-highest rate. Against righties, the Reds have the seventh-highest K rate in MLB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This provides some solid value on Sheehan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 25-year-old has a well-above-average 25.8% strikeout rate in 101.1 career innings.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sheehan has five-plus Ks in five straight starts (including vs. the Reds), clearing this line in each of his last two.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s in the 70th percentile or better in K, whiff and chase rates.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>What I also like: Sheehan is coming off his longest outing of the season and has reached the 90-pitch mark in back-to-back starts. He failed to throw more than 80 pitches in each of his first seven outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 08\/25\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Starting pitchers Spencer Strider and Emmet Sheehan headline today&#8217;s top MLB prop picks. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Strider is having a horrific stretch, leading me to fade him against the Miami Marlins. As for Sheehan, I expect him to keep punching batters out. Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, featuring a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":365119,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,155],"class_list":["post-365055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/08\/Emmet-Sheehan-Kerry-Carpenter.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Chris Toman\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Chris_Toman\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Chris Toman\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/\",\"name\":\"MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/2f8cbf42e64238b5258fcbce92ea6132\"},\"description\":\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/2f8cbf42e64238b5258fcbce92ea6132\",\"name\":\"Chris Toman\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7755.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7755.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Chris Toman\"},\"description\":\"Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Chris_Toman\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/chris-tomannorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/08\/Emmet-Sheehan-Kerry-Carpenter.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Chris Toman","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@Chris_Toman","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Chris Toman","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/","name":"MLB prop bets Aug. 25: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00","dateModified":"2025-08-25T19:53:45+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/2f8cbf42e64238b5258fcbce92ea6132"},"description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 25, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-25-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/2f8cbf42e64238b5258fcbce92ea6132","name":"Chris Toman","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7755.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7755.jpg","caption":"Chris Toman"},"description":"Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.","sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/Chris_Toman"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/chris-tomannorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=365055"}],"version-history":[{"count":29,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365055\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":365121,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365055\/revisions\/365121"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/365119"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=365055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=365055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=365055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}