{"id":364409,"date":"2025-08-23T11:30:49","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T15:30:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=364409"},"modified":"2025-08-23T11:30:49","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T15:30:49","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-23-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-23-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 23: Bet on Abbott, Springs to shove on Saturday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Andrew Abbott<\/a> is having a sneakily stellar year, and he headlines Saturday’s MLB prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today’s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Abbott is flirting with an ERA title for the Cincinnati Reds, and he’s not shying away from healthy innings totals in most of his starts. In other matchups, I expect Dylan Crews<\/a> to continue his modest resurgence and for Jeffrey Springs<\/a> to cash in against the free-swinging Seattle Mariners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 23.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Crews over 0.5 hits (-143)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crews hasn’t come anywhere near living up to the hype that made him the No. 2 draft pick in 2023, but he’s still only 23 years old. And things have been better lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In his past 13 games, Crews is 12-for-41 (.293) with a .969 OPS. He’s 9-4 vs. this prop in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies in what has been a brutal year for the front-of-rotation arm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nola \u2014 an LSU product just like Crews, albeit nearly a decade apart \u2014 has a 6.92 ERA and a .308 opponent BA in 10 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, Nola got shelled by this Nationals squad (2.1 IP, seven hits, six runs), and Crews was in on the fun. Crews hit a two-run double off Nola and scored in the next at-bat, chasing Nola from the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s confounding to see these struggles from Nola, whose career 3.80 ERA is more than three full runs below this year’s mark. His career 8.0 H\/9 is more than three full hits below this year’s mark (11.4), too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some positive regression would make sense, but probably not as much as you’d think. According to Baseball Savant, Nola ranks in the 12th percentile in xERA (5.17) and the seventh percentile in xBA (.289).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In righty-on-righty matchups, Nola’s primary pitch is his sinker. Crews is 11-for-37 (.297) against sinkers from RHPs this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: Crews is 4-for-7 with a double and a triple vs. Nola.<\/p>\n\n\n\n