{"id":364214,"date":"2025-08-22T10:38:16","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T14:38:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=364214"},"modified":"2025-08-22T10:38:17","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T14:38:17","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-22-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-22-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks Aug. 22: Target Brandon Lowe and Wyatt Langford on Friday night"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Friday night’s MLB home run picks are Brandon Lowe<\/a> and Wyatt Langford<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today’s MLB HR narrative:<\/strong> Lowe is scorching hot at the plate right now and playing in a very homer-friendly park. As for Langford, the opposing starter on the mound is a key reason why he’s a strong candidate to go yard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for Aug. 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Lowe to hit a home run (+380)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lowe has always possessed a solid power bat, but his potential is dimmed by all the swing-and-miss in his game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The all-star second baseman has thumped 24 homers in 104 games, marking his third consecutive season above the 20-homer plateau. Then again, he’s in line for a third consecutive season with a strikeout rate north of 25.0%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sometimes, whiffs are a worthwhile tradeoff at the expense of swinging for the fences. And against a pitcher like Miles Mikolas, who Lowe will see tonight, I’m not concerned about strikeouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mikolas averages 92.7 mph on his fastball, per Baseball Savant, which is well below the 95.0-mph average for right-handed pitchers. He also ranks in the bottom 11th percentile (or worse) in chase rate, whiff rate and K rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Lowe can stay on Mikolas’ four-seam fastball, I love his chances of parking one over the wall at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa Bay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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  • Left-hitting players are 26-for-74 (.351) with a .770 SLG and eight HRs off Mikolas’ four-seamer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
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    • Lowe is 24-for-69 (.348) with a .725 SLG and eight HRs against four-seamers from RHPs this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Tampa’s temporary home park has been the fourth-friendliest home run venue this season, allowing 21% more long balls than average (based on Baseball Savant’s park factors data). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      It’s a perfect setting for Lowe to tee off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Key stat:<\/strong> Lowe has five homers and a .596 SLG in his past 13 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n