Thursday’s home run picks are priced at +600 and +700 apiece. So if you want some longer odds plays, you’re in the right place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Today’s MLB HR narrative:<\/strong> Jesus Sanchez<\/a> is struggling mightily at the plate right now, but tonight’s opportunity in Baltimore is a compelling one for left-hitting power bats like him. Earlier on, Christian Yelich<\/a> has an intriguing price despite a platoon disadvantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for Aug. 21.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Best bet: Sanchez to hit a home run (+600)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Let’s get the glaring concern out of the way first: Sanchez is in an 0-for-31 tailspin right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The left-hitting outfielder is essentially unplayable against left-handed pitchers, but he wields a fair amount of power against right-handers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Sanchez is slugging .430 vs. RHPs this year, and nine of his 10 homers have come against righties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Those numbers don’t jump off the page, but we are talking about a 6-to-1 dart throw here. And there’s more to like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Sanchez will play at Baltimore’s Camden Yards tonight. According to Baseball Savant, that’s the second-most homer-friendly park for lefty hitters in MLB (40% more home runs than average).<\/p>\n\n\n\n On the mound for Baltimore is right-hander Brandon Young, who’s been a long ball victim many times over at his home park.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Young has allowed a .676 SLG in six home starts this year. In just 26.2 innings, he’s coughed up nine HRs at Camden Yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Key stat:<\/strong> Sanchez’s .430 SLG vs. righties isn’t remarkable, but his .497 xSLG vs. righties is rather encouraging.<\/p>\n\n\n\nMLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n