{"id":363708,"date":"2025-08-19T09:47:49","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T13:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=363708"},"modified":"2025-08-19T09:47:50","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T13:47:50","slug":"blue-jays-vs-pirates-best-bets-august-19-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-pirates-best-bets-august-19-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Pirates best bets Aug. 19: Bet on Varsho to mash, Toronto to lead at F5 mark"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday night as they look to even their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Scherzer has looked great in August and gives Toronto a good chance to take an early lead. In the prop market, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/daulton_varsho\/batting-stats\">Daulton Varsho<\/a> and former Blue Jay <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/spencer_horwitz\/batting-stats\">Spencer Horwitz<\/a> are worth backing on plus-money plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays best bets vs. the Pirates for Aug. 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays best bets vs. Pirates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: <strong>Horwitz over 0.5 runs (+125)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scherzer has been solid but not dominant for the Blue Jays. None of his 10 starts have been scoreless, and with that in mind, Horwitz has as good a chance as any Pittsburgh player to score on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ex-Jay has been the Pirates&#8217; leadoff man for the better part of two months, and he&#8217;s put together some strong numbers lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out what Horwitz has accomplished in his past 25 games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.326 BA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.388 OBP<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.506 SLG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>14 runs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a notable platoon advantage for the left-hitting Horwitz, too, as he&#8217;s posted a career .803 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers and a .516 OPS vs. lefties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scherzer, meanwhile, has allowed a higher OPS to left-hitting players (.753) than right-hitting players (.703) this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s nothing flashy about this pick, because Horwitz is far from a flashy hitter, but the price is compelling for a top-of-lineup guy with a platoon advantage who&#8217;s excelling right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Horwitz has scored in 10 of his past 21 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/tallysight.com\/new\/widget\/betslip\/1755607490560-1f12-952?id=cc4a3672-6179-4d30-a71a-c579e759bfb2\" allowtransparency=\"true\" height=\"275px\" width=\"100%\" loading=\"lazy\" scrolling=\"auto\" style=\"border: 0; margin: 0 !important;\"><\/iframe><script async src=\"https:\/\/tallysight.com\/scripts\/widget-embed-min.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Blue Jays -0.5 &#8211; first five innings (-107):<\/strong> Toronto was level with the Paul Skenes-led Pirates through five innings yesterday. Tonight, I expect the Jays to pull ahead by the halfway mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scherzer is off to a great start this month, with three quality outings:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>vs. Royals (Aug. 2):<\/strong> 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 5 K<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>at Dodgers (Aug. 8):<\/strong> 6.0 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 5 K<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>vs. Cubs (Aug. 14):<\/strong> 7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 3 K<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Another performance like that would put Toronto in a great position to cash this bet. Especially considering the Pirates are scoring the fewest F5 runs per game (1.98), per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keller has been in much worse shape than Scherzer recently, coughing up 19 runs over his past five outings (7.54 ERA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Varsho over 1.5 total bases (+120):<\/strong> Varsho has a lot of all-or-nothing in his offensive profile, but he mashes righty pitching pretty routinely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The stocky outfielder is slugging .692 with 21 extra-base hits (13 home runs) in 35 games vs. RHPs this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also has a .295\/.404\/.682 slash line this month after missing all of June and July with a hamstring injury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is dealing with some hamstring tightness of his own, which should bump Varsho up from the heart of the order into the No. 3 or 4 spot tonight. That doesn&#8217;t matter much, but it could lead to an extra opportunity at the plate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keller has allowed a notably higher OPS to left-hitting players (.752) compared to right-hitting players (.650).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays best bets made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 08\/19\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday night as they look to even their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The pregame narrative: Scherzer has looked great in August and gives Toronto a good chance to take an early lead. In the prop market, Daulton Varsho and former Blue Jay Spencer [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":363713,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-363708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays best bets vs. Pirates: Aug. 19 MLB betting | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays best bets vs. Pirates for Aug. 19, 2025. 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