Check out my Blue Jays best bets vs. the Cubs for Aug. 13, featuring prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Seiya Suzuki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Blue Jays best bets vs. Cubs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Best bet: Suzuki over 1.5 bases (+110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nSuzuki had a pair of warning-track flyouts in Tuesday’s opener, which encapsulates his struggles this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The designated hitter is merely 7-for-30 (.233) with two extra-base hits in August. But the results don’t match his output.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
According to Baseball Savant, Suzuki has posted a .311 xBA this month, as well as a 52% hard-hit rate. He has more barrels (eight) than hits (seven). <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Barrels, for context, represent only the highest quality of contact based on launch angle and exit velocity. Most of them go for extra bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-13-at-9.11.49-AM-1024x651.webp\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nHence why I’m not giving up on Suzuki. There’s more than meets the eye with his batted-ball profile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I also don’t mind this matchup for him tonight against Toronto starter Kevin Gausman. Suzuki is 2-for-3 in his career off the veteran right-hander.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gausman’s main putaway pitch to right-hitting batters is his splitter, and Suzuki has managed that offering well in 2025 (albeit in a limited sample). Suzuki is 4-for-9 with two home runs against splitters from RHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Also, Suzuki is slugging .494 vs. four-seam fastballs from righties, and that’s the other pitch he’ll see most often from Gausman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Key stat:<\/strong> Suzuki has a 19.1% barrel rate, which ranks in the 98th percentile. He also owns a 92nd-percentile xSLG (.536).<\/p>\n\n\n\nJays vs. Cubs picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Blue Jays moneyline (-138):<\/strong> Cubs starter Cade Horton is the only qualified starting pitcher who hasn’t allowed a run in the past month. So why am I fading his side tonight?<\/p>\n\n\n\nFor one thing, I’m not sold on Horton sustaining this dominance against the red-hot Blue Jays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Over the past two weeks, Toronto’s offence has a .325\/.382\/.567 slash line, leading the majors in each of those categories. The Jays also have an AL-low 16.6% strikeout rate in that span. They’re locked in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
During Horton’s scoreless streak, his .135 opponent batting average is far better than his xBA (.225). This could easily be a back-to-Earth start for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And the Cubs have struggled at the plate, posting a .665 OPS over the past two weeks (25th in MLB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+100):<\/strong> Vladdy has been tattooing the ball consistently, and this price is absolutely worth jumping on.<\/p>\n\n\n\nComing off a 3-for-4 night, Guerrero has gone over 1.5 bases in five of his past six games \u2014 and in 13 of his past 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Since the all-star break, he’s 37-for-97 (.381), averaging 2.79 bases per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
And considering Baseball Savant credits Guerrero with a .361 xBA in that span, this barrage of hits looks pretty legit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Blue Jays best bets made at 10:03 a.m. ET on 08\/13\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Toronto Blue Jays put their home-field dominance back to the test on Wednesday night against the Chicago Cubs. The pregame narrative: After a 5-1 victory at Rogers Centre last night, the Jays moved to 39-19 (.672) at home this season. For context, Toronto only won 39 home games all of last year. As for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":362858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-362867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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Best bet: Suzuki over 1.5 bases (+110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Suzuki had a pair of warning-track flyouts in Tuesday’s opener, which encapsulates his struggles this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The designated hitter is merely 7-for-30 (.233) with two extra-base hits in August. But the results don’t match his output.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to Baseball Savant, Suzuki has posted a .311 xBA this month, as well as a 52% hard-hit rate. He has more barrels (eight) than hits (seven). <\/p>\n\n\n\n Barrels, for context, represent only the highest quality of contact based on launch angle and exit velocity. Most of them go for extra bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Hence why I’m not giving up on Suzuki. There’s more than meets the eye with his batted-ball profile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I also don’t mind this matchup for him tonight against Toronto starter Kevin Gausman. Suzuki is 2-for-3 in his career off the veteran right-hander.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Gausman’s main putaway pitch to right-hitting batters is his splitter, and Suzuki has managed that offering well in 2025 (albeit in a limited sample). Suzuki is 4-for-9 with two home runs against splitters from RHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Also, Suzuki is slugging .494 vs. four-seam fastballs from righties, and that’s the other pitch he’ll see most often from Gausman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Key stat:<\/strong> Suzuki has a 19.1% barrel rate, which ranks in the 98th percentile. He also owns a 92nd-percentile xSLG (.536).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Blue Jays moneyline (-138):<\/strong> Cubs starter Cade Horton is the only qualified starting pitcher who hasn’t allowed a run in the past month. So why am I fading his side tonight?<\/p>\n\n\n\n For one thing, I’m not sold on Horton sustaining this dominance against the red-hot Blue Jays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Over the past two weeks, Toronto’s offence has a .325\/.382\/.567 slash line, leading the majors in each of those categories. The Jays also have an AL-low 16.6% strikeout rate in that span. They’re locked in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n During Horton’s scoreless streak, his .135 opponent batting average is far better than his xBA (.225). This could easily be a back-to-Earth start for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And the Cubs have struggled at the plate, posting a .665 OPS over the past two weeks (25th in MLB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+100):<\/strong> Vladdy has been tattooing the ball consistently, and this price is absolutely worth jumping on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Coming off a 3-for-4 night, Guerrero has gone over 1.5 bases in five of his past six games \u2014 and in 13 of his past 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Since the all-star break, he’s 37-for-97 (.381), averaging 2.79 bases per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And considering Baseball Savant credits Guerrero with a .361 xBA in that span, this barrage of hits looks pretty legit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Blue Jays best bets made at 10:03 a.m. ET on 08\/13\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The Toronto Blue Jays put their home-field dominance back to the test on Wednesday night against the Chicago Cubs. The pregame narrative: After a 5-1 victory at Rogers Centre last night, the Jays moved to 39-19 (.672) at home this season. For context, Toronto only won 39 home games all of last year. As for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":362858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-362867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\nJays vs. Cubs picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n