{"id":361679,"date":"2025-08-07T13:12:33","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T17:12:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=361679"},"modified":"2025-08-07T13:12:33","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T17:12:33","slug":"reds-vs-pirates-predictions-august-7-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/reds-vs-pirates-predictions-august-7-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs. Pirates SGP predictions Aug. 7: Bet on Skenes, De La Cruz in +360 parlay"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/paul_skenes\/pitching-stats\">Paul Skenes<\/a> and the Pittsburgh Pirates open a four-game set against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Last year, Skenes went 3-0 vs. the Reds while allowing just one run in 17.0 innings. Though Pittsburgh is 11 games behind Cincinnati in the standings, the Skenes effect has the Pirates favoured to win tonight&#8217;s home game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Reds vs. Pirates predictions, featuring prop bets on Skenes and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/elly_de_la_cruz\/batting-stats\">Elly De La Cruz<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reds vs. Pirates predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Skenes over 7.5 Ks | De La Cruz over 0.5 hits | Under 8.5 runs (+360)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Skenes over 7.5 Ks (-120):<\/strong> The Reds haven&#8217;t had the misfortune of facing Skenes yet this year, but their luck runs out tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Skenes, the odds-on favourite to win the NL Cy Young award, dominated the Reds in three starts last season:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>17.0 IP<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>10 hits<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2 walks<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1 run<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>25 Ks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In the most recent of those outings, which came in September, Skenes fanned nine batters over 5.0 scoreless innings &#8230; on just 73 pitches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 6.7 Ks per start, Skenes isn&#8217;t always rising to this strikeout total in 2025. But the Reds are a good matchup for him to exceed his average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Reds have the eighth-highest strikeout rate in the majors (22.9%). Also, Skenes has 18 Ks vs. Cincy&#8217;s active lineup in just 42 plate appearances (42.9 K%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:117111\">Embed: #117111<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>De La Cruz over 0.5 hits<\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>(-162): <\/strong>Both right-hitting and left-hitting players are below the Mendoza Line against Skenes this year, who has a .187 opponent BA overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, this is a compelling leg to add to the SGP, as it vaults the price from +140 to +360.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The switch-hitting De La Cruz is better from the left side, where he has a .299\/.389\/.531 slash line this season. He&#8217;s 31-9 vs. this prop in his past 40 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, De La Cruz is 2-for-6 with a double and a walk vs. Skenes. Not bad, all things considered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Under 8.5 runs<\/strong><\/strong> (-200)<\/strong>:<\/strong> The Reds\/Pirates season series has been an absolute slog, with offence taking a back seat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All six head-to-head matchups so far have gone under this number. The average total in those games was 5.3 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dating back to the start of June, nine of Skenes&#8217; 11 starts have gone under an 8.5-run total. His presence is obviously a plus for run suppression, but there&#8217;s also not much to like about either offensive lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cincinnati and Pittsburgh rank 24th and 29th, respectively, in wRC+. The Pirates are also dead last in runs per game (3.54).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Reds vs. Pirates predictions made at 12:50 p.m. ET on 08\/07\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates open a four-game set against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday night. The pregame narrative: Last year, Skenes went 3-0 vs. the Reds while allowing just one run in 17.0 innings. Though Pittsburgh is 11 games behind Cincinnati in the standings, the Skenes effect has the Pirates favoured to win [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":361783,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-361679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Reds vs. Pirates predictions: Aug. 7 MLB SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Reds vs. Pirates predictions for Aug. 7, 2025. 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