{"id":361548,"date":"2025-08-06T12:38:19","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T16:38:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=361548"},"modified":"2025-08-06T12:38:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T16:38:19","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Nick Kurtz should capitalize on platoon advantage in Washington"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Nick Kurtz and Salvador Perez are Wednesday night&#8217;s MLB home run picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative:<\/strong> It&#8217;s not hyperbolic to say that Kurtz is MLB&#8217;s best hitter against right-handed pitching, and he&#8217;s worth a look tonight on his HR prop. Elsewhere, Perez is seeking his third homer in the first week of August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for Aug. 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: <strong><strong>Kurtz to hit a home run (+295)<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You won&#8217;t see him in the postseason this year, so enjoy Kurtz&#8217;s epic rookie season while it lasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year&#8217;s fourth-overall draft pick has bashed 23 home runs for the Athletics, including a four-homer game less than two weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurtz wasn&#8217;t called up right away, and he spent some time on the injured list earlier this year, so he isn&#8217;t a qualified hitter. Still, his 74-game sample is large enough to know he&#8217;s having an S-tier season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among players with 300-plus plate appearances, only Aaron Judge ranks ahead of Kurtz in SLG, wRC+ and ISO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s right &#8230; guys like Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber are in his rearview mirror.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurtz and the A&#8217;s will face Cade Cavalli tonight in DC, and I&#8217;m loving the matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cavalli, who was a consensus top-100 prospect in 2021-22, missed most of the past two seasons due to injury. This year, he posted a 6.09 ERA in 15 Triple-A starts before getting called up for his MLB season debut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The left-hitting Kurtz has been punishing right-handed pitchers like no one else. His .351 BA and .749 SLG vs. righties this year are both the best marks in the majors. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Kurtz has 11 HRs in his past 25 games, posting a .441\/.527\/.968 slash line in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best HR predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Perez to hit a home run (+400):<\/strong> Dustin May was a trade deadline reclamation project for the Red Sox, and he&#8217;ll make his first start for Boston tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that May has allowed eight HRs in his past five starts, I think it makes sense to target someone in the Royals&#8217; lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perez looks like a nice pick at this price, especially after homering in two of five games so far this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MLB&#8217;s co-leader in home runs in 2021 still has plenty of pop, evidenced by his .544 xSLG (94th percentile, per Baseball Savant).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>May&#8217;s four-pitch mix includes a sweeper and all three fastball types (four-seamer, sinker, cutter). Against RHPs this season, Perez is slugging .546 on those offerings with 14 HRs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB home run picks made at 12:40 p.m. ET on 08\/06\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nick Kurtz and Salvador Perez are Wednesday night&#8217;s MLB home run picks. Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative: It&#8217;s not hyperbolic to say that Kurtz is MLB&#8217;s best hitter against right-handed pitching, and he&#8217;s worth a look tonight on his HR prop. Elsewhere, Perez is seeking his third homer in the first week of August. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":361539,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-361548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/08\/Nick-Kurtz-Salvador-Perez.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/\",\"name\":\"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions & odds | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions & odds | NSB","description":"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions & odds | NSB","og_description":"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/08\/Nick-Kurtz-Salvador-Perez.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/","name":"MLB home run picks Aug. 6: Best bets, predictions & odds | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00","dateModified":"2025-08-06T16:38:19+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our best MLB home run picks for Aug. 6, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-august-6\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361548","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=361548"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361548\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":361550,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361548\/revisions\/361550"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/361539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=361548"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=361548"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=361548"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}