{"id":361417,"date":"2025-08-05T14:14:29","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T18:14:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=361417"},"modified":"2025-08-05T14:14:30","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T18:14:30","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-5-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-august-5-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 5: Back Gunnar Henderson, Freddie Freeman and Jarren Duran on Tuesday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>American League East stars <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/gunnar_henderson\/batting-stats\">Gunnar Henderson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jarren_duran\/batting-stats\">Jarren Duran<\/a> highlight the top MLB prop picks for Tuesday&#8217;s slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Henderson has an appealing matchup and has been hot for months, while Duran&#8217;s move into a more friendly run-producing spot has yielded strong results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. 5, featuring a prediction on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/freddie_freeman\/batting-stats\">Freddie Freeman<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Henderson over 1.5 total bases (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have been a colossal disappointment, but they&#8217;ve received some strong individual performances from several players. Henderson is one of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A slow start following a spring injury has long been an afterthought, as the shortstop has been a beast at the plate after putting up a 7.9 fWAR season a year ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Henderson is hitting .326\/.398\/.547 over the last 30 days. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Going back even more, he has an .896 OPS since June 1 (he posted a mark of .893 in his monster 2024 year). <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 24-year-old is hitting .316\/.386\/.536 with 10 of his 13 homers vs. right-handed pitching. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Henderson and the Orioles see a righty tonight, in the ultra-hittable Taijuan Walker of the Philadelphia Phillies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Walker was serviceable in July in terms of run prevention, but he doesn&#8217;t miss bats and has allowed multiple homers in three consecutive starts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He had an unsightly 7.10 ERA in 19 appearances last season and is a pitcher I&#8217;m looking to fade against good hitters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Tonight&#8217;s game is at Citizens Bank Park, where Walker has a 4.78 ERA in 12 appearances (six starts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:116648\">Embed: #116648<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Freeman over 1.5 total bases (+104)<\/strong>: I&#8217;m surprised Freeman can be had at plus money, so I&#8217;m all over this. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers have a juicy matchup at home against the St. Louis Cardinals, who are starting Miles Mikolas. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mikolas has a 6.00 ERA on the road and has allowed 15 homers since the start of June. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since that time, he&#8217;s turned in a 5.81 ERA. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mikolas has faced Freeman more than any Dodgers hitter and the results haven&#8217;t been pretty: 1.426 OPS over 21 plate appearances. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Freeman hit a lull in June that dragged into July, but he&#8217;s long out of it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The all-star first baseman is batting .385\/.439\/.615 over the last 15 days and has a team-best .993 OPS in the second half. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Freeman also smashes righties (.527 SLG) and has cleared this line in six straight games, making this a plus matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Duran over 0.5 RBI (+145)<\/strong>: The Boston Red Sox outfielder rakes at home, smashes righties and is coming off his best month of the season. There&#8217;s a lot to like here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Duran has hit third or seventh in the lineup in eight consecutive games and either spot is fine. He has 10 extra-base hits and 10 RBI over that stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As long as he&#8217;s out of the leadoff spot, where he&#8217;s spent a lot of time this season, Duran is worth a look on this market when the right conditions are present, as they are tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Duran in July: .317\/.411\/.683<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At home: .291\/.362\/.524<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vs. RHPs: .294\/.370\/.527<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Red Sox see Kansas City Royals deadline addition Ryan Bergert, a righty with control issues who will be pitching at Fenway Park&#8217;s favourable hitting environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 08\/05\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>American League East stars Gunnar Henderson and Jarren Duran highlight the top MLB prop picks for Tuesday&#8217;s slate. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Henderson has an appealing matchup and has been hot for months, while Duran&#8217;s move into a more friendly run-producing spot has yielded strong results. Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":361438,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,155],"class_list":["post-361417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Aug. 5: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Aug. 5, 2025. 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