{"id":361304,"date":"2025-08-04T14:38:26","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T18:38:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=361304"},"modified":"2025-08-04T14:38:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T18:38:26","slug":"national-bank-open-quarterfinal-tennis-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/national-bank-open-quarterfinal-tennis-picks-and-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"National Bank Open quarterfinal picks and predictions: Best bets for de Minaur vs. Shelton, Fritz vs. Rublev"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The National Bank Open is on to the quarterfinals with plenty of stars still in the mix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The narrative:<\/strong> Alexander Zverev is the No. 1 seed because of some key dropouts, and he&#8217;s favoured to advance past Alexei Popyrin. Also, Taylor Fritz and Andrey Rublev renew their rivalry with a spot in the semis on the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top National Bank Open quarterfinal predictions, featuring a pick on Alex de Minaur vs. Ben Shelton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">National Bank Open predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: de Minaur -2 games (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both Shelton and de Minaur are at the top of their game right now, but I&#8217;ll side with the Australian for a few reasons:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since the return of hardcourt season, de Minaur is flawless, going 7-0 while covering this spread in each win.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>His only loss in his past 11 matches came against Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>And he&#8217;s on a preferred playing surface. de Minaur is 190-91 in his career on outdoor hard courts and 38-11 since the start of last season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Shelton is no slouch, don&#8217;t get me wrong. He&#8217;s at his highest-ever ranking (No. 7) and is a very respectable 81-44 on this court type.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he&#8217;s needed all three sets in back-to-back wins. And because de Minaur had a walkover in the round of 32, Shelton has played two-plus hours of tennis more than his opponent at the National Bank Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The longer this match goes on, the more it should tilt in de Minaur&#8217;s favour. If the American struggles to break serve, we could see that rest advantage play a major role in this match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Shelton allows his opponents to hold 83.9% of their service games. In comparison, De Minaur allows a 68.9% hold rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/tennis\/matches\/today\">Full tennis betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">National Bank Open best bet: Zverev vs. Popyrin<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Zverev -1.5 sets<\/strong> (-106)<\/strong>: Popyrin has gone through a pair of top-15 players (Medvedev, Rune) in the past two rounds and needed all three sets to win each match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And things don&#8217;t get easier. Zverev is the highest-ranked of them all, holding the No. 3 ranking on the ATP Tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On top of that, he holds distinct advantages in this match:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Zverev has a 68.1% career win rate on outdoor hard courts (14-4 in 2025).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Popyrin has a 57.1% career win rate on the playing surface (5-7 in 2025).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Zverev is 3-0 in his career vs. Popyrin, covering this spread in all three matches.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, this season, the No. 3-ranked player is 38-14 while his counterpart has a sub-.500 record (15-17).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zverev was also blessed with a short match in the round of 16 because of an early retirement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is in form and simply the more talented player. Plus, he has a rest advantage. This has all the makings of a tough outing for Popyrin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best bet: Rublev vs. Fritz<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Over 23.5 games (-112)<\/strong>: These two are very evenly matched, with Fritz holding a 5-4 edge in the head-to-head battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not only that, but they&#8217;ve split their head-to-head games played at exactly 109 apiece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Fritz&#8217;s last match, he beat Jiri Lehecka in a very close contest that needed three tiebreakers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rublev was heading down the same path, going to two tiebreaks with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina before the Spaniard was forced to retire in the third set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both players are resilient and do a great job of holding serve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Tuesday, fans should be in for another exciting match between two players who are difficult to break.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fritz and Rublev have combined to hold 93.7% of their service games at the National Bank Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>National Bank Open predictions made at 10:50 a.m. on 08\/04\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National Bank Open is on to the quarterfinals with plenty of stars still in the mix. The narrative: Alexander Zverev is the No. 1 seed because of some key dropouts, and he&#8217;s favoured to advance past Alexei Popyrin. Also, Taylor Fritz and Andrey Rublev renew their rivalry with a spot in the semis on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":361260,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-361304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>National Bank Open predictions: Quarterfinal picks | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our National Bank Open predictions for Aug 4-5. 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