{"id":361200,"date":"2025-08-04T09:49:50","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T13:49:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=361200"},"modified":"2025-08-04T09:53:57","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T13:53:57","slug":"blue-jays-vs-rockies-picks-august-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-rockies-picks-august-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays prop picks vs. Rockies Aug. 4: Lauer has value on Ks prop, Kirk should make noise at the plate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After back-to-back series losses, the AL East-leading Toronto Blue Jays look to right the ship with a three-game set against the Colorado Rockies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Toronto is a road favourite on Monday night in a game with explosive scoring potential. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/eric_lauer\/pitching-stats\">Eric Lauer<\/a> gets the ball for the Jays, searching to keep bats quiet in baseball&#8217;s most offence-friendly environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Rockies for Aug. 4, featuring Lauer and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/alejandro_kirk\/batting-stats\">Alejandro Kirk<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Rockies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Lauer over 4.5 Ks (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a strikeout standpoint, Lauer is a pretty unassuming guy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His fastball averages about 92 mph, and he doesn&#8217;t have anything particularly devastating to pair it with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, his career seemed to be on life support when he signed with the Jays this winter, after posting a 5.26 ERA in Houston&#8217;s minor-league system in 2024 (along with a 4.93 ERA in seven starts in Korea that year). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Branded as a bulk reliever out of the gate, Lauer eventually got his shot in the rotation and found a way to stick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since joining the rotation for good on June 11, Lauer is 4-1 with a 3.00 ERA (2.90 FIP) in nine starts. He has 51 strikeouts over 48.0 innings in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His 9.6 K\/9 in that span is better than the season-long rates for Kevin Gausman, Chris Bassitt and Jose Berrios. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Who could&#8217;ve predicted that?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lauer is 6-2 vs. this prop in his past eight starts, and he&#8217;s got an excellent opportunity to keep that train rolling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The left-hander largely thrives on a three-pitch mix of four-seamers, cutters and curveballs when right-hitting players are in the box (and he should see eight or nine in Colorado&#8217;s lineup tonight).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against that pitch mix from LHPs, Colorado has the league&#8217;s fourth-highest whiff rate (26.3%) and fifth-lowest batting average (.223).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The Rockies have the fourth-highest strikeout rate vs. left-handed pitchers (25.4%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:116600\">Embed: #116600<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kirk over 1.5 total bases (-120):<\/strong> Tonight&#8217;s game has a whopping 12-run projected total, which makes it difficult to find playable prices on overs in the offensive market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I like where Kirk sits, as a hitter who cashed this bet in six of 11 starts last month before a short stint on the injured list. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirk ranks in the 92nd percentile or better in xBA (.301), hard-hit rate (52.8%) and strikeout rate (9.7%), per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;ll face Colorado right-hander Tanner Gordon, who has allowed a .373\/.410\/.651 slash line to right-hitting players through 13 career starts. That looks like a typo &#8230; but it&#8217;s not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays picks made at 9:19 a.m. ET on 08\/04\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After back-to-back series losses, the AL East-leading Toronto Blue Jays look to right the ship with a three-game set against the Colorado Rockies. The pregame narrative: Toronto is a road favourite on Monday night in a game with explosive scoring potential. Eric Lauer gets the ball for the Jays, searching to keep bats quiet in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":361206,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-361200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Rockies: Aug. 4 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Rockies for Aug. 4, 2025. 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