{"id":360027,"date":"2025-07-29T16:21:59","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:21:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=360027"},"modified":"2025-07-29T16:21:59","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:21:59","slug":"national-bank-open-tennis-picks-and-best-bets-july-30-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/national-bank-open-tennis-picks-and-best-bets-july-30-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"National Bank Open picks and predictions July 30: Round of 64 best bets on Felix Auger-Aliassime, Taylor Fritz and Gabriel Diallo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two Canadians are in action at the National Bank Open on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Felix Auger-Aliassime will get his tournament going against Fabian Marozsan. Earlier on, Gabriel Diallo plays Matteo Gigante as a sizeable favourite in front of his home crowd. Finally, Taylor Fritz and Roberto Carballes Baena close out the night in Toronto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top National Bank Open picks for July 30, including a prediction on Emma Raducanu vs. Peyton Stearns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

National Bank Open picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Auger-Aliassime -2.5 games (-114)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If we go back to early 2025, the Canadian was one of the best in the world on hardcourt surfaces. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Auger-Aliassime won two titles (Adelaide, Montpellier) and reached another final in Dubai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, including indoor and outdoor hardcourts, he is 17-7 this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marozsan, meanwhile, comes into this match having lost seven of his last 13. He hasn’t won consecutive games during that time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 25-year-old has competed in 17 events in 2025 and has failed to make it to the quarterfinals in 15 of them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s treading water with a 21-18 record this season, and his 8-7 hardcourt record leaves a lot to be desired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Auger-Aliassime is the better player here, coming in with the momentum on his side. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> The Canadian has held 83.9% of his service points (223\/266) on outdoor hardcourts this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #116419<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full tennis betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

National Bank Open best bet: Fritz vs Carballes Baena<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Fritz to win under 12.5 games (-139)<\/strong>: I know this pick is an under, but it’s actually my way of backing Fritz to win in straight sets while avoiding his -315 pricetag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He has a juicy matchup against a player punching way above his weight class. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Carballes Baena is below .500 in his career on outdoor hardcourts (45-68).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Fritz is 15-6 on the surface this season and 251-127 in his career.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      If this were contested on clay, there may be an argument for the Spaniard who’s 505-308 on the red dirt in his 14 years as a pro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      But this court type is doing Carballes Baena no favours, and Fritz should be able to take this match comfortably in two sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Best bet: Diallo vs. Gigante<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Diallo -1.5 sets (-112)<\/strong>: Diallo has been active in 2025, putting together a 29-20 record while competing in a lot of the top competitions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      He won his first ATP 250 event and now gets a shot to play in front of his home crowd in the middle of his breakout season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      And the Canadian should have the advantage in the round of 64.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Diallo and Gigante most recently played on this surface in January 2024, with Diallo winning in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • Since then, the Italian has remained on the Challenger Tour while Diallo has become a staple on the ATP Tour.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            \n
          • Gigante has needed all three sets for each of his past six wins, while his past three losses have come in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

            And that poor form hasn’t been at the highest level. All but one of those matches were played on the Challenger Tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            Diallo has won 10 of his past 14 matches. All four losses were against players ranked inside the top 35.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

            Best bet: Raducanu vs. Stearns<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

            Raducanu -1.5 sets (-132)<\/strong>: There are a few reasons to back Raducanu in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            • She’s 2-0 against Stearns in her career, winning both matches in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                \n
              • Raducanu has won six of her last eight matches. Each victory came in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                  \n
                • Stearns has lost five of her last six matches. Each loss came in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

                  On outdoor hardcourts, Stearns is 7-9 in 2025 and 20-24 since the start of last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                  Raducanu is 89-41 on the surface in her career (11-7 in 2025), and holds the edge in this round of 64 battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                  National Bank Open picks made at 2:48 p.m. on 07\/29\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                  Two Canadians are in action at the National Bank Open on Wednesday. The pregame narrative: Felix Auger-Aliassime will get his tournament going against Fabian Marozsan. Earlier on, Gabriel Diallo plays Matteo Gigante as a sizeable favourite in front of his home crowd. Finally, Taylor Fritz and Roberto Carballes Baena close out the night in Toronto. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":360131,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-360027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNational Bank Open picks July 30: Round of 64 best bets | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our National Bank Open picks for July 30, 2025. 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