{"id":360000,"date":"2025-07-29T13:33:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T17:33:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=360000"},"modified":"2025-07-29T13:40:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T17:40:52","slug":"mets-vs-padres-predictions-july-29-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-padres-predictions-july-29-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Mets vs. Padres SGP predictions July 29: Target Xander Bogaerts at +325"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The San Diego Padres are looking for a fourth straight win<\/a> when they host the New York Mets for the second of a three-game series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> San Diego squeaked out a 7-6 win in last night’s contest and sends Ryan Bergert to the mound. The Mets counter with Sean Manaea, who’s making his third start of the year with an impressive 2.19 ERA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Mets vs. Giants predictions<\/a>, featuring Xander Bogaerts<\/a> and Brett Baty<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mets vs. Padres predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Padres +1.5 | Bogaerts over 0.5 hits | Baty over 0.5 hits<\/strong> (+325)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Padres +1.5<\/strong> (-167)<\/a>:<\/strong> The Padres may have the less experienced pitcher starting today, but I still believe they hold the advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bergert has been solid as a rookie, sporting a 2.84 ERA through 10 appearances (six starts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More importantly, he gets run support from his offence. In those six starts, San Diego is 5-1 straight up and 6-0 against this run line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the other side, Manaea has been solid over 12.1 innings to start his season, but this is a tough matchup for the veteran lefty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 120 at-bats, the Padres’ offence has a .316 average with a 19.5% K-rate against him. That’s enough of a sample size for me to expect a letdown spot<\/a> in Manaea’s third start of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n