{"id":359845,"date":"2025-07-28T13:33:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T17:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=359845"},"modified":"2025-07-28T13:33:05","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T17:33:05","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-28-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-28-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets July 28: Back Randy Arozarena, pitchers Matthew Boyd and Edward Cabrera"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Two starting pitchers and Seattle Mariners slugger <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/randy_arozarena\/batting-stats\">Randy Arozarena<\/a> highlight Monday&#8217;s top MLB prop picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Arozarena is scorching and lines up well again tonight, making the over on his total bases prop my best bet of the night. As for the pitchers, I&#8217;m looking to strike on light lines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my favourite MLB prop bets for July 28, featuring predictions on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/edward_cabrera\/pitching-stats\">Edward Cabrera<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/matthew_boyd\/pitching-stats\">Matthew Boyd<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Arozarena over 1.5 total bases (-107)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a great matchup for Arozarena, who has been providing the Mariners with big middle-of-the-order production. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s enjoying his best month of the season, has the platoon advantage, and is hitting at one of the game&#8217;s best offensive environments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Arozarena is slugging .659 with a .985 OPS this month. His 10 July homers are tied for second in MLB and he&#8217;s fifth in ISO.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Athletics will deploy southpaw J.P. Sears (5.61 ERA at home) and a bullpen that&#8217;s been battered. A&#8217;s relievers have the worst ERA in the American League.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sutter Health Park, the Athletics&#8217; home stadium, has been MLB&#8217;s best offensive venue next to Coors Field, according to Baseball Savant. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Arozarena has fanned five times in eight career at-bats vs. Sears, but that sample doesn&#8217;t sway me. The veteran hitter has a career-best 136 wRC+ and does his best damage against left-handed pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Arozarena is hitting .292 and slugging .547 vs. LHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:116364\">Embed: #116364<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cabrera over 4.5 Ks (-130)<\/strong>: The St. Louis Cardinals are among the game&#8217;s most difficult teams to retire on strikes, but Cabrera consistently clears this number. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Miami Marlins righty has recorded five-plus strikeouts in 11 consecutive outings and is 14-3 against this line on the season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has a lifetime 9.9 K\/9 rate and enters this outing with well-above average strikeout, whiff and chase rates. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cabrera is worth a play against any team at a line this light.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Boyd over 4.5 Ks (-129)<\/strong>: Similar to Cabrera, Boyd&#8217;s upside is too big to ignore here. Plus, the matchup isn&#8217;t as daunting in some respects. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\">While the Chicago Cubs lefty is up against one of the sport&#8217;s hottest teams in the first-place Milwaukee Brewers, they&#8217;re more susceptible to strikeouts than St. Louis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Brewers are 19th in the majors in K rate, though they&#8217;ve been getting punched out at the 12th-highest clip in baseball since the all-star break. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They&#8217;ve been tougher on lefties, but Boyd has been tough on everyone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The southpaw has the third-lowest ERA (2.20) in MLB, an above-average K rate, and he regularly works deep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boyd has cleared this number in 14 of his 20 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:00 p.m. ET on 07\/28\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two starting pitchers and Seattle Mariners slugger Randy Arozarena highlight Monday&#8217;s top MLB prop picks. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Arozarena is scorching and lines up well again tonight, making the over on his total bases prop my best bet of the night. As for the pitchers, I&#8217;m looking to strike on light lines. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":359885,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,155],"class_list":["post-359845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets July 28: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 28, 2025. 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