{"id":359747,"date":"2025-07-27T11:47:56","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T15:47:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=359747"},"modified":"2025-07-27T11:47:57","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T15:47:57","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-27-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-27-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets July 27: Bet on Brandon Woodruff, Luis Arraez in plus-money plays"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On a Sunday loaded with early afternoon games, I&#8217;ve got three MLB prop bets from games starting before 2:30 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/cody_bellinger\/batting-stats\">Cody Bellinger<\/a> has swung a powerful bat against Phillies ace Zack Wheeler in the past, and he&#8217;s got compelling value on his bases prop today amid a hot streak. Later on, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/brandon_woodruff\/pitching-stats\">Brandon Woodruff<\/a> looks to close out July with one more dominant outing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 27, also featuring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/luis_arraez\/batting-stats\">Luis Arraez<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Woodruff over 6.5 strikeouts (+130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Woodruff&#8217;s midseason return for the Brewers has been electric, bolstering the team&#8217;s division title hopes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After a year and a half on the shelf due to shoulder\/elbow issues, Woodruff made his 2025 season debut on July 6, dominating the Marlins in 6.0 innings of work (two hits, one run, eight Ks).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His two subsequent starts have been similarly stellar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>July 12:<\/strong> 4.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 10 Ks<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>July 21:<\/strong> 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 5 Ks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Now Woodruff will run it back against the Marlins, who admittedly aren&#8217;t a big strikeout team. They have the ninth-lowest K% in the majors (20.9%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Woodruff doesn&#8217;t have much experience against this group, but he&#8217;s been utterly dominant in a small sample: 36 plate appearances, two hits (.059 BA), 12 strikeouts (33.3 K%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami can deploy up to five left-hitting batters against the right-handed Woodruff today, but I say the more the merrier. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Woodruff&#8217;s best put-away pitch is his changeup to lefties, which has garnered a 53.8% whiff rate and a .400 opponent OPS dating back to the 2022 season (according to Baseball Savant).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: This year, the Marlins have the fifth-highest whiff rate vs. changeups from righties (32.6%).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:116329\">Embed: #116329<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bellinger over 1.5 total bases (+143)<\/strong>: Wheeler is on the mound for the Phillies today, which means it&#8217;ll be an uphill battle for the Yankees&#8217; offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Bellinger is a guy who can break through, as he has against Wheeler in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bellinger is 6-for-15 (.400) against Wheeler, and all six hits went for extra bases (five HRs, one double).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Last year, while playing for the Cubs, Bellinger cashed this bet with a double in his lone game against Wheeler.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, Bellinger is blazing hot right now, slugging .700 in his past 21 games. He&#8217;s 13-8 vs. this prop in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Arraez over 1.5 hits (+165):<\/strong> Arraez is one of the very few players I look at in the 1.5 hits market. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Because he&#8217;s a three-time batting champ who rarely walks or strikes out. So there are always ample opportunities for hits to drop in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fuelled by MLB&#8217;s lowest strikeout rate, Arraez only walks or strikes out in 7.4% of his plate appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s not on a batting-title-tear this season, but the high-contact infielder has enjoyed a solid little run lately. Over his past nine games, he&#8217;s batting .361 with four multi-hit performances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arraez will face St. Louis rookie Michael McGreevy, who has allowed 14 hits while striking out just two batters over his past two starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Left-hitting players \u2014 for which Arraez is one \u2014 have a .363 xBA against McGreevy this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 11:29 a.m. ET on 07\/27\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On a Sunday loaded with early afternoon games, I&#8217;ve got three MLB prop bets from games starting before 2:30 p.m. ET. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Cody Bellinger has swung a powerful bat against Phillies ace Zack Wheeler in the past, and he&#8217;s got compelling value on his bases prop today amid a hot streak. Later [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":359768,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-359747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets July 27: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 27, 2025. 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