{"id":359740,"date":"2025-07-27T11:00:37","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T15:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=359740"},"modified":"2025-07-27T16:23:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T20:23:11","slug":"citi-open-predictions-and-best-bets-2025-finals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/citi-open-predictions-and-best-bets-2025-finals\/","title":{"rendered":"Citi DC Open finals picks and predictions: Back Alex de Minaur, fade Leylah Fernandez"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Canadian Leylah Fernandez seeks her fourth WTA title in the Citi DC Open final on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The latest:<\/strong> Fernandez won a monster three-set game against Elena Rybakina on Saturday, and is a slight underdog against Anna Kalinskaya. On the men&#8217;s side, Alex de Minaur is favoured over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who seeks his first ATP title. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my top Citi Open predictions for the July 27 finals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Citi predictions: Men&#8217;s final<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Best bet: de Minaur -3.5 games (-107)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Davidovich has been playing spectacular tennis lately, ousting a pair of big-name Americans en route to the final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He took down Taylor Fritz, the ATP No. 4-ranked player, in a three-set thriller before bouncing Ben Shelton (No. 8 ranked) in straight sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It might seem like a simple play, then, to pick the Spaniard, who owns a 61.36% record on hard courts in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Davidovich is 0-3 in finals matches and has failed to cover a +3.5 game spread each time. Now he has to go up against a red-hot de Minaur, who has won nine career titles and will be under far less pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>de Minaur is 16-5 on hard courts this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>His 67.79% career record on hard courts is his best of any outdoor surface.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 26-year-old has only dropped one set en route to making the final in Washington.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">de Minaur has an elite return game that should help him break Davodovich&#8217;s often inconsistent first serve. I expect the Australian to nab title No. 10 on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> de Minaur is 2-0 against Davidovich on hard courts, covering this spread in both matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/tennis\/wta\">Full Citi Open betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fernandez vs. Kalinskaya best bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kalinskaya to win (-141):<\/strong> Fatigue is bound to set in for Fernandez sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Canadian just played in a three-set match against Rybakina that lasted over three hours. Every set went to a tiebreak, and Fernandez gritted her way to a victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fernandez has played 7 hours, 49 minutes of tennis in the last three days, with a pair of three-set wins.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In the same span, Kalinskaya had played 3 hours, 25 minutes, winning each of her matches in straight sets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fernandez has had to get through tougher competition to this point, but Kalinskaya will be fresh and is certainly feeling confident after smashing Emma Raducanu in the semis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Russian also plays her best tennis on hard courts, so I&#8217;m not expecting Fernandez to have a massive surface advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Citi Open predictions made at 10:30 a.m. on 07\/27\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian Leylah Fernandez seeks her fourth WTA title in the Citi DC Open final on Sunday. The latest: Fernandez won a monster three-set game against Elena Rybakina on Saturday, and is a slight underdog against Anna Kalinskaya. On the men&#8217;s side, Alex de Minaur is favoured over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who seeks his first ATP [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":359758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[128],"class_list":["post-359740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Citi Open predictions &amp; picks: Men&#039;s &amp; Women&#039;s final | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check our Citi Open predictions for the men&#039;s and women&#039;s final. 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