{"id":358374,"date":"2025-07-18T16:40:24","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T20:40:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=358374"},"modified":"2025-07-19T14:54:46","modified_gmt":"2025-07-19T18:54:46","slug":"open-championship-best-bets-and-predictions-for-weekend-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/open-championship-best-bets-and-predictions-for-weekend-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best\u00a0bets to win Open Championship ahead of Round 3: Back Matt Fitzpatrick to win second major"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-c199e77d-4919-4da6-af55-aaebc1296dfd\">We&#8217;re halfway through the Open Championship at Royal Portrush, and a handful of serious contenders have emerged. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-9c3cc2c7-1115-4d8b-b542-637fad067c45\"><strong>The latest:<\/strong> Scottie Scheffler leads the pack after firing a 7-under 64 on Friday, and is the odds-on favourite to win. Matt Fitzpatrick is only one shot behind, though, and has won in a pressure-packed situation before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-4018230a-634c-4e00-b4d6-975112a67cb1\">Check out my Open Championship best bets for the weekend&#8217;s action on July 19 and 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0daf7ebc-fbd3-498c-8598-8189b6955828\">Open Championship best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:115877\">Embed: #115877<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-c2ea1d7d-b4a5-41fe-b1f9-798fc6ee8cde\"><strong>Best bet: Fitzpatrick to win (+540)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I picked Fitzpatrick to win this event at +4,500 on Monday, and that price is long gone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Do I wish the World No. 1 wasn&#8217;t leading him by a shot? Sure, but this provides another opportunity to get in on the Englishman at a solid number. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fitzpatrick ranks first in strokes gained: tee-to-green (+10.26) through 36 holes, according to DataGolf, and that&#8217;s a very sustainable path to winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He&#8217;s missed a bunch of short putts, which hurts, but should be an easy fix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Scheffler, meanwhile, is striking the ball pure as always. But he&#8217;s had a ridiculous week with the flatstick so far, making 212.1 feet of putts (eighth-most in the field) and gaining 5.61 strokes on the green (second-most).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I expect Scheffler to regress, given his history at the Open. Heading into this event, Scheffler lost an average of 0.8 strokes per round putting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And let&#8217;s not forget Fitzpatrick has won a major championship before, staving off Scheffler and Will Zalatoris at the U.S. Open in 2022. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is a proper test, and Fitzpatrick is a proper player. I&#8217;ll stick with my pre-tournament pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Fitzpatrick&#8217;s 16 birdie chances under 20 feet are the second-most in the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-97fe7ebe-bb32-4883-9ec9-7361e71c0bfb\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/golf?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_golf\">Full Open Championship betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Long shot prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sam Burns to win (+15,000):<\/strong> I think either Scheffler or Fitzpatrick will win this event, but let&#8217;s look at a long shot in case Mother Nature has something to say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That duo is slated to go off together around 10:00 a.m. ET (3:00 p.m. local), and wind gusts are expected to reach a peak of 29 km\/h shortly thereafter with rain. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I&#8217;m looking for someone who can score in droves and post a number before a potential storm rolls in \u2014 Burns fits that bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The American was leading the U.S. Open down the stretch last month before some bad luck knocked him to T7. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He ranks seventh in this field in strokes gained over the last three months and is 14th in birdie average (4.22) on the PGA Tour this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burns birdied four holes on the back nine on Friday to finish at 3-under, and I&#8217;m hoping he carries that momentum into the weekend.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-93274d5b-a99b-4c88-9c55-fa28b9931b05\"><em>Open Championship best bets made at 4:00 p.m. on 07\/18\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We&#8217;re halfway through the Open Championship at Royal Portrush, and a handful of serious contenders have emerged. The latest: Scottie Scheffler leads the pack after firing a 7-under 64 on Friday, and is the odds-on favourite to win. Matt Fitzpatrick is only one shot behind, though, and has won in a pressure-packed situation before. Check [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":358396,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[74],"tags":[96],"class_list":["post-358374","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","tag-golf"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Open Championship best bets: Golf picks &amp; predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Open Championship best bets ahead of Round 3. 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