{"id":358282,"date":"2025-07-17T15:48:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T19:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=358282"},"modified":"2025-07-17T15:48:43","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T19:48:43","slug":"blue-jays-vs-giants-series-preview-july-18-20-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-giants-series-preview-july-18-20-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Giants series betting preview July 18-20: Probable pitchers, ATS analysis and player trends"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Coming out of the four-day all-star break, the Toronto Blue Jays are home to face the San Francisco Giants for a weekend series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AL East is tightening up, with four teams playing above-.500 ball. Toronto (55-41) leads the pack thanks to a recent 10-game win streak and will look to start strong with a homestand at Rogers Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our Blue Jays vs. Giants preview for the July 18-20 series, highlighting the starting pitching matchups, betting trends and more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Giants preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s been a while since the Toronto Blue Jays entered the second half of a season with this much hype.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jays set a franchise record for wins before the all-star break (55). And this is the first time they&#8217;ve held a division lead entering the second half since 2000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto has a tricky stretch right out of the gate, though, with 10 consecutive games against the Giants, Yankees and Tigers \u2014 three of the top 12 MLB teams based on current records.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco is built on stout pitching. The rotation is loaded with big-name vets, and Toronto will see three of them in this series. On the back end, the Giants have the lowest bullpen ERA in the majors (3.14).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Starting pitcher matchups<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>July 18:<\/strong> RHP Justin Verlander (0-7, 4.81 ERA) vs. RHP Chris Bassitt (9-4, 4.12 ERA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Verlander has no-hit the Blue Jays <em>twice<\/em> at Rogers Centre (2011, 2019), but a lot has changed since then. The 42-year-old is labouring in what could be his final season, ranking in the bottom 25th percentile in xERA, xBA and barrel rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bassitt has so-so numbers against the Giants&#8217; lineup (.234 BA, .422 SLG in 64 at-bats), and his greatest nemesis is Devers. In past matchups vs. Bassitt, Devers is 8-for-17 with three home runs and two doubles.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>July 19:<\/strong> LHP Robbie Ray (9-3, 2.65 ERA) vs. LHP Eric Lauer (4-2, 2.78 ERA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tommy John surgery derailed most of Ray&#8217;s past two seasons, but he&#8217;s back to pitching like the guy who won the 2021 AL Cy Young as a member of the Jays. The left-hander has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 19 of 20 starts this season, and San Francisco is 15-5 in his starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lauer doesn&#8217;t have overpowering stuff, but he&#8217;s hitting enough spots to skate by. He&#8217;s also an efficient strikeout generator, with 30 Ks over 24.2 innings in his past five matchups. The former first-round pick has a 2.91 FIP since joining the rotation for good on June 11.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>July 20:<\/strong> RHP Logan Webb (9-6, 2.94 ERA) vs. RHP Jose Berrios (5-4, 3.75 ERA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Webb is a workhorse, tracking toward the NL innings lead for a third consecutive season. The Dodgers roughed up Webb in his final pre-all-star start (six runs in 5.1 innings), but he&#8217;d posted a 2.51 ERA in 12 outings before that.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It&#8217;s difficult to know what you&#8217;re getting from Berrios these days. In his past seven starts, he&#8217;s allowed one or zero runs four times &#8230; but he allowed 16 combined runs in the other three.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Who&#8217;s hot and who&#8217;s not<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nathan Lukes (OF):<\/strong> Lukes isn&#8217;t an everyday starter, which means his prop markets might come and go. But the left-hitting outfielder has made six starts as the leadoff man this month, and that&#8217;s something to watch for. Lukes has posted a .355\/.444\/.581 slash line in 11 games (eight starts) in July, scoring seven runs in the process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ernie Clement (INF):<\/strong> Clement has a 1.041 OPS vs. left-handed pitching and often finds himself in the leadoff spot when a southpaw is on the mound. That might not last, though, given how dreadful July has been for him (.178\/.208\/.222 slash line in 12 games). Clement is hitless in five of his past nine starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Willy Adames (INF):<\/strong> Year 1 of Adames&#8217; seven-year, $182 million contract hasn&#8217;t been great. But he&#8217;s finally flashing some of the power that San Francisco thought it was acquiring. The shortstop is slugging .614 this month, collecting seven extra-base hits in 12 games. But he still owns just a 12th-percentile xBA (.226), per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Devers (DH):<\/strong> Devers came over to the Giants in what will likely be the biggest trade of 2025, but it&#8217;s not working out well so far. The full-time designated hitter is batting .202 with a .326 SLG in 25 games with his new team. On the bright side, he still ranks in the 88th percentile or better in xwOBA, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Giants preview: Betting trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Toronto has the 2nd-best run line record in MLB (55-41, 57.3%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Giants have the 4th-worst run line record (43-54, 44.3%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Overs are 24-10-1 when the Giants are underdogs (1st in MLB).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Overs are 51-42-3 in Blue Jays games (3rd in MLB).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Adames has cashed his 1.5 total bases prop in 6 of 12 starts this month.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is averaging 1.7 total bases since June 1. But he only has four HRs in 33 games over that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coming out of the four-day all-star break, the Toronto Blue Jays are home to face the San Francisco Giants for a weekend series. The AL East is tightening up, with four teams playing above-.500 ball. Toronto (55-41) leads the pack thanks to a recent 10-game win streak and will look to start strong with a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":358251,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-358282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays vs. Giants preview for July 18-20 series | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check our Blue Jays vs. Giants preview for the July 18-20 series. 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