{"id":357819,"date":"2025-07-13T12:25:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-13T16:25:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=357819"},"modified":"2025-07-14T01:27:41","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T05:27:41","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets July 13: Fade Arraez, bet on Hernandez to rake"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s the final day before MLB&#8217;s all-star break, and Sunday afternoon is loaded up with action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Jose Altuve duels with familiar foe in the Lone Star State, looking to keep up his power surge. Elsewhere, Teoscar Hernandez has value against a left-handed pitcher in what has been a highly profitable platoon advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 13, featuring a fade of Luis Arraez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Altuve over 1.5 total bases (+135)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a longstanding battle between two veterans brewing deep in the heart of Texas today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Altuve and Nathan Eovaldi, both 35, will continue an extended saga that is 58 plate appearances deep. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston&#8217;s small slugger has had the upper hand, going 17-for-55 (.309) with seven home runs and a pair of walks. That equates to a .727 SLG, which isn&#8217;t too much of an outperformance of his xSLG (.661), as tracked by Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both players are having solid seasons, though it&#8217;s Eovaldi who has shone particularly bright. The Houston native is a legitimate all-star snub, posting a 1.62 ERA and 2.30 FIP over 15 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Altuve is 47th in MLB in slugging percentage (.465) and is still a well-above-average bat with his 120 wRC+. He&#8217;s also doing his best work right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After bashing a 407-foot home run off Jacob deGrom last night, Altuve is up to a .370\/.426\/.826 slash line in his past 12 games. He has 10 extra-base hits in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For as dominant as Eovaldi&#8217;s numbers have been, he&#8217;s practically a league average guy when it comes to contact quality:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>40th-percentile average exit velocity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>56th-percentile barrel rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>57th-percentile xBA<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Eovaldi also rarely walks batters (97th-percentile walk rate), while Altuve seldom strikes out (82nd-percentile K rate). So I expect plenty of opportunities with the ball in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Altuve is 9-3 vs. this prop in his past 12 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Arraez under 1.5 hits\/runs\/RBI (-106)<\/strong>: This is far more ambitious than I typically go for a straight prop, but let&#8217;s live a little.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arraez is a three-time reigning batting champ, which is really difficult to bet against, but he&#8217;s nowhere near that realm in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After posting a combined .328 BA from 2022-24, Arraez is batting .283 this year \u2014 with a .272 xBA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;ll be at a platoon disadvantage today against Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (7-2, 2.59 ERA), who has been absolutely dealing all year. Against left-hitting players specifically, Sanchez has allowed a .188 BA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arraez puts the ball in play more than 90% of the time, which doesn&#8217;t help our case. But he&#8217;s hitless in five of 11 games this month, and Sanchez is downright nasty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Hernandez over 1.5 total bases (+130)<\/strong>: Hernandez is hitting righties worse than he has at any point since his debut season (2016), but his production against left-handers hasn&#8217;t wavered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\">In fact, Hernandez&#8217;s .695 SLG vs. lefties is the second-best of his career. And his 166 wRC+ vs. LHPs since the start of last season ranks ninth among 136 qualified hitters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Giants starter Robbie Ray (9-3, 2.63 ERA) is having a bounce-back season, but Hernandez has gotten the better of his ex-Toronto teammate in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hernandez is 3-for-7 vs. Ray with two home runs and a walk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET on 07\/13\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s the final day before MLB&#8217;s all-star break, and Sunday afternoon is loaded up with action. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Jose Altuve duels with familiar foe in the Lone Star State, looking to keep up his power surge. Elsewhere, Teoscar Hernandez has value against a left-handed pitcher in what has been a highly profitable platoon [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":357790,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-357819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-13T16:25:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-14T05:27:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/07\/Altuve-Hernandez-Arraez.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/\",\"name\":\"MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-13T16:25:03+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-07-14T05:27:41+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-07-13T16:25:03+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-07-14T05:27:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/07\/Altuve-Hernandez-Arraez.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/","name":"MLB prop bets July 13: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-07-13T16:25:03+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-14T05:27:41+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 13, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Sunday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-13\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/357819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=357819"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/357819\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":357858,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/357819\/revisions\/357858"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/357790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=357819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=357819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=357819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}