{"id":357366,"date":"2025-07-10T16:13:24","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T20:13:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=357366"},"modified":"2025-07-10T16:13:24","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T20:13:24","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets July 10: Back Matt Olson and CJ Abrams, fade Walker Buehler vs. Rays"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The best MLB prop picks for Thursday feature two hitters and a fade on a starting pitcher. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Matt Olson and CJ Abrams are hot and I expect them both to take advantage of strong matchups tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 10, featuring a prediction on Walker Buehler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Olson over 1.5 total bases (+100)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019d like a right-handed hitter against the Athletics\u2019 JP Sears but the prices on Ronald Acuna Jr. and Austin Riley \u2014 the Atlanta Braves&#8217; two best hitters \u2014 are steep.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sears has been walloped by righties and pitched poorly at his home stadium, Sutter Health Park, one of the most hitter-friendly venues in the game.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I won\u2019t let the left-on-left matchup cause me to ignore how dangerous Olson has been.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For starters, he has handled southpaws just fine over the last two seasons:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Situation<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>AVG<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>OBP<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>SLG<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2025 vs. LHP<\/td><td>.290<\/td><td>.340<\/td><td>.495<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2025 vs. RHP<\/td><td>.262<\/td><td>.380<\/td><td>.484<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2024 vs. LHP<\/td><td>.263<\/td><td>.321<\/td><td>.515<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2024 vs. RHP<\/td><td>.240<\/td><td>.337<\/td><td>.434<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Further, he\u2019s on a heater and can be had at good value.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Olson has a 1.041 OPS in July.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has hit safely in 13 of his last 15 games, slashing .361\/.426\/.541 over that stretch. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Scoring is expected (the projected total is 10 runs as of Thursday morning), and the Braves are surely going to see some of the Athletics\u2019 bottom-of-the-barrel bullpen, too (AL-worst 5.66 ERA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Olson is top 15 in MLB in average (.323) and wRC+ (168) since June 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Buehler under 15.5 outs (-150)<\/strong>: The best offence in baseball, per wRC+, over the last 30 days belongs to the Houston Astros. The Tampa Bay Rays are No. 2.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston is on a heater, but the Rays are ahead of them in the standings. They hold a wild-card spot and are scoring the seventh-most runs per game.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dynamite pitching performances from Brayan Bello (complete game) and Lucas Giolito (six scoreless) in consecutive games helped Boston preserve its bullpen ahead of this key final series before the break.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With fresh arms and plenty to play for, there\u2019s no need to push Buehler, who has a difficult matchup at his offensive-minded home park.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buehler has thrown well in two starts against Tampa but has gone under this number in four straight. He&#8217;s 2-7 vs. this line since May.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The veteran has an unsightly 6.25 ERA and 1.58 WHIP, allowing five-plus runs in four of his last seven outings.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tampa is batting an MLB-best .268 vs. righties.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Abrams over 0.5 runs (-125)<\/strong>: There are several starters worth targeting tonight, and St. Louis Cardinals righty Miles Mikolas is one of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lefty hitters are torching Mikolas, who has allowed 14 runs and eight homers in his last two outings. He has a 7.59 ERA since the start of June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mikolas will see two excellent left-handed hitters at the top of the Washington Nationals lineup, including Abrams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Abrams has scored in 58.4% of the games he&#8217;s started, per Team Rankings, which is second in MLB to Aaron Judge.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The leadoff man has eight runs in as many games this month, scoring in all but one contest. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Abrams enters with career-best numbers in all three slash categories and is getting on base at a .355 clip in July. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington&#8217;s shortstop hits in front of one of the game&#8217;s best hitters, James Wood, who is worth a look on the prop market as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 10:50 a.m. ET on 07\/10\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The best MLB prop picks for Thursday feature two hitters and a fade on a starting pitcher. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Matt Olson and CJ Abrams are hot and I expect them both to take advantage of strong matchups tonight. Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 10, featuring a prediction on Walker [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":357183,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-357366","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets July 10: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 10, 2025. 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