{"id":357067,"date":"2025-07-10T13:06:54","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T17:06:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=357067"},"modified":"2025-07-11T11:42:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T15:42:40","slug":"wimbledon-predictions-and-best-bets-2025-mens-semifinals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wimbledon-predictions-and-best-bets-2025-mens-semifinals\/","title":{"rendered":"Wimbledon men’s semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets for Fritz vs. Alcaraz, Sinner vs. Djokovic"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Wimbledon semifinal is a star-studded affair with elite matchups for fans and bettors alike to look forward to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest:<\/strong> Taylor Fritz is playing some of the best tennis of his career, but even at his best, Carlos Alcaraz remains an overwhelming favourite. A must-see showdown between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic will determine who earns the last spot in the Wimbledon men’s final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 11, featuring a pick on both matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wimbledon predictions: Men’s semis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Alcaraz -2.5 sets (+138)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A semifinal run for Fritz is certainly impressive, but now is the time to dissect his results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fritz has lost six sets en route to the Wimbledon semis, more than any other competitor remaining. Each of his first two matches went the distance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His level of competition is worth noting, too. Fritz is the only player remaining who hasn’t faced an ATP top-15-ranked opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fritz’s most notable win at this tournament was his last, a four-set victory over world No. 20 Karen Khachanov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Needless to say, a matchup against Alcaraz presents a completely different set of challenges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alcaraz was dialled in during his quarterfinal win over Cameron Norrie. The Spaniard dispatched the British tennis star in three sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His grass-court record is impossible to ignore as well. Alcaraz is a sterling 10-0 on the surface this year and 30-1 since 2023, including two Wimbledon titles during this stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The American is a heavy server who has a good, but not elite, return game. Alcaraz has the return game to neutralize Fritz’s serve and a strong enough serve to expose what holes he does have as a returner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These two have squared off twice, with Alcaraz winning both in straight sets. I’m dubious of Fritz’s ability to win a set off the Spaniard until I see it happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Alcaraz has won two of his last three matches in straight sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #115728<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full Wimbledon betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sinner vs. Djokovic best bet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Sinner -1.5 sets (+105):<\/strong> I’m not going to sit here and hold Sinner’s poor performance versus Grigor Dimitrov against him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yes, the Italian was down 0-2 and likely on his way to losing before an untimely retirement. No, that didn’t stop him from getting by the world No. 10 Ben Shelton in straight sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’m going to chalk Sinner’s close call as a stellar performance from a very talented Dimitrov, and not an indictment against his level of play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After all, those are still the only two sets Sinner has lost to this point at Wimbledon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No remaining competitor has lost fewer sets than Sinner, and this is the part of the tournament where time on court starts to become a factor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s especially worth highlighting as Sinner gets ready to face 38-year-old Djokovic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Serbian has defied aging better than anyone, but Father Time is undefeated. Take a quick glance at the time on court difference between the two:<\/p>\n\n\n\n