{"id":356909,"date":"2025-07-10T10:03:40","date_gmt":"2025-07-10T14:03:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=356909"},"modified":"2025-07-10T10:03:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T14:03:40","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-july-10-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-july-10-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks July 10: Look for Jo Adell, Agustin Ramirez to go deep"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>For Thursday&#8217;s MLB home run picks, I&#8217;m targeting a pair of hitters who excel against lefty pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jo_adell\/batting-stats\">Jo Adell<\/a> is finally making a name for himself several years after being a highly regarded prospect, and he&#8217;s been particularly hot in the past 20 games. Elsewhere, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/agustin_ramirez\/batting-stats\">Agustin Ramirez<\/a> can take sole possession of the rookie HR lead if he leaves the yard tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for July 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Ramirez to hit a home run (+440)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you haven&#8217;t been following the Marlins (and who could blame you for that?), you likely don&#8217;t know who Ramirez is. But I think he&#8217;s a real threat to go deep on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 23-year-old rookie, who was Baseball Prospectus&#8217; No. 55 prospect entering the year, has a 113 OPS+ through 67 games. He&#8217;s a dead-pull hitter who should enjoy playing at Cincinnati&#8217;s hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GABP allows 22% more homers than average to right-hitting players, per Baseball Savant, and all 14 of Ramirez&#8217;s homers this year have been pulled into the left field seats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thursday&#8217;s pitching matchup should work in Ramirez&#8217;s favour, too. He&#8217;ll face left-hander Nick Lodolo, who has allowed 1.34 HR\/9 (17th-most among 68 qualified pitchers).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lodolo has allowed at least one HR in all six of his starts since the beginning of June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ramirez does his best work against southpaws, slugging .500 against them this season. He also has a .305\/.339\/.627 slash line in his past 15 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Ramirez is tied for the MLB rookie lead in HRs (14).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:115708\">Embed: #115708<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best HR predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Adell to hit a home run (+360)<\/strong><\/strong>: Once upon a time, Adell was a top-10 draftee and a blue chip prospect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now he&#8217;s 26, in his sixth MLB season, and things are finally coming together. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The outfielder has an .819 OPS this season in 85 games and has been worth 1.1 bWAR. For context, he was worth a combined -0.6 bWAR through his first five years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adell is slugging .558 vs. left-handed pitchers, which definitely has my attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;ll face LHP Patrick Corbin tonight at Angel Stadium, which is the fourth-friendliest HR venue for right-hitting players (17% more HRs than average).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past 20 games, Adell has six homers and a .324\/.414\/.622 slash line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB home run picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 07\/10\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For Thursday&#8217;s MLB home run picks, I&#8217;m targeting a pair of hitters who excel against lefty pitching. Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative: Jo Adell is finally making a name for himself several years after being a highly regarded prospect, and he&#8217;s been particularly hot in the past 20 games. Elsewhere, Agustin Ramirez can take sole possession [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":356979,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-356909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB home run picks July 10: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for July 10, 2025. 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