{"id":356122,"date":"2025-07-06T11:53:23","date_gmt":"2025-07-06T15:53:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=356122"},"modified":"2025-07-06T11:53:23","modified_gmt":"2025-07-06T15:53:23","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-july-6-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-july-6-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks July 6: Take a shot on sluggers Rafael Devers and Shohei Ohtani"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Two star sluggers headline Sunday&#8217;s MLB home run picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/rafael_devers\/batting-stats\">Rafael Devers<\/a> has put together a decent hit streak and he has a good matchup against the Athletics tonight. Earlier on, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/shohei_ohtani\/batting-stats\">Shohei Ohtani<\/a> looks to add another home run against the Houston Astros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best MLB home run picks for July 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Devers to hit a home run (+285)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Swish Analytics, the wind will be blowing out at over 8.0 mph to centre field at the Athletics&#8217; makeshift home of Sutter Health Park.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The temperature is also supposed to be around 90 degrees at first pitch, meaning the ball should fly tonight. That&#8217;s reflected in the hefty 10.5 run total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That brings me to the Giants&#8217; newest slugger. Devers is on a five-game hit streak with three doubles in that span. He doesn&#8217;t have any blasts, but he&#8217;s seeing the ball well right now and hitting with power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, take a look at some of his advanced power analytics and where they rank:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>55.8 hard-hit rate (97th percentile)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>94.0 mph avg exit velocity (97th percentile)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>15.4% barrel rate (92nd percentile)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Devers will face left-handed pitcher Jacob Lopez, but he&#8217;s a rare lefty who hits better against the same side, so it is one more thing working to his advantage on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Devers bats .289 and has a .488 SLG against LHP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best HR predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Ohtani to hit a home run (+175)<\/strong><\/strong>: Dodger Stadium is right around average in terms of home runs allowed to left-handed hitters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But on Sunday, the wind will pick up and blow out to right field at around 7.5 mph. That will turn an average ballpark into a very friendly hitter&#8217;s park for Ohtani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And he gets an A-plus matchup against Astros starter Ryan Gusto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The big righty has struggled at times and owns a 4.90 ERA through 18 appearances (11 starts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His 90.4% average exit velocity and 15th percentile chase rate (24.5%) won&#8217;t be doing him any favours either against a free-swinging power hitter like Ohtani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ohtani ranks third in the MLB with 30 home runs this season and owns a 1.002 OPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB home run picks made at 10:55 a.m. ET on 07\/06\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two star sluggers headline Sunday&#8217;s MLB home run picks. Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative: Rafael Devers has put together a decent hit streak and he has a good matchup against the Athletics tonight. Earlier on, Shohei Ohtani looks to add another home run against the Houston Astros. Check out the best MLB home run picks for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":356165,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-356122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB home run picks July 6: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for July 6, 2025. 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