{"id":355648,"date":"2025-07-03T14:25:35","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T18:25:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=355648"},"modified":"2025-07-03T14:25:35","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T18:25:35","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-july-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets July 3: Back hot-hitters Jazz Chisholm and Joe Adell"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-6136ecc2-0cb3-4ab9-907f-141f56234f79\">Jazz Chisholm highlights the top prop picks for MLB&#8217;s lighter Thursday slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Chisholm has been raking and will enjoy a platoon advantage, giving me confidence he&#8217;ll stay hot for the reeling New York Yankees, who are looking to avoid a four-game sweep to the Toronto Blue Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 3, featuring predictions on Joe Adell and Jake Irvin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Chisholm over 1.5 hits\/runs\/RBI (-112)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Yankees&#8217; third baseman no doubt benefits from hitting at his home park (1.025 OPS at home, .578 on the road), but he\u2019s been hammering the ball and slugs right-handed pitching.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At this gargantuan price, he\u2019s a worthwhile play for me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vs. RHPs: 13 of 14 HR, .563 SLG, .909 OPS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Since June 1: 7 HR, .305\/.380\/.579<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Chisholm has nine multi-hit contests over that 26-game stretch. He entered June (after missing all of May) with a .181 average and .714 OPS. Chisolm is up to .240 and .829, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Yankees see righty Chris Bassitt, who was clobbered in his last start and surrendered a pair of bombs and four runs when he faced New York earlier this season.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Left-handed hitters are slugging nearly 100 points higher vs. Bassitt and are hitting him for a .287 average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And it\u2019s fair to wonder whether Toronto\u2019s bullpen will be at its sharpest after the club used four high-leverage relievers each for an inning-plus last night after deploying five relief arms in both of the first two games of the series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Chisholm is 10-4 against this line over his last 14 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Irvin over 4.5 Ks (+105)<\/strong>: Irvin&#8217;s K rate has tumbled this season, but the Washington Nationals righty has cleared this line in three straight outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He gets the Detroit Tigers, while a difficult matchup for any pitcher, who strike out at the fifth-highest K rate in MLB vs. right-handers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Irvin will be at home, where he&#8217;s pitched significantly better this season (3.59 ERA vs. 5.79) \u2014 and he generally gives the Nationals innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 28-year-old had a stretch earlier in the season where he worked into the sixth inning in nine straight outings. He&#8217;s 5-3 against this line over his last eight after starting the year on a 3-6 run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Adell over 0.5 RBI (+155)<\/strong>: It appears Adell, a 2017 first-round pick, is figuring things out.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The former top prospect struggled over parts of five seasons entering the year but heads into tonight two homers off the personal-best 20 he hit last year and has career-high marks in slugging (.494) and OPS (.811).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adell has moved up to a run-producing spot in the Los Angeles Angels\u2019 order, hitting behind a group of bats who can provide damage. And Adell is as hot as he\u2019s been all season:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>OPS by month: April (.514), May (.836), June (1.038).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.340\/.421\/.680 over a 13-game hit streak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Five homers &amp; 12 RBI over that stretch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Angels get Atlanta Braves righty Bryce Elder, who had an 8.25 ERA over five June starts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elder allowed a season-high 10 runs and three homers in his last outing and is coming off a brutal 2024. The softer-throwing righty is not a big swing-and-miss arm and is susceptible to blow-ups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on 07\/03\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jazz Chisholm highlights the top prop picks for MLB&#8217;s lighter Thursday slate. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Chisholm has been raking and will enjoy a platoon advantage, giving me confidence he&#8217;ll stay hot for the reeling New York Yankees, who are looking to avoid a four-game sweep to the Toronto Blue Jays. Check out my top [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":355643,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-355648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets July 3: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for July 3, 2025. 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