{"id":355543,"date":"2025-07-03T10:01:51","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:01:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=355543"},"modified":"2025-07-03T10:01:51","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:01:51","slug":"yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Yankees vs. Blue Jays prop picks July 3: Bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Clark Schmidt on Thursday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Toronto Blue Jays are one win away from sweeping the New York Yankees and sitting alone atop the AL East. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative: <\/strong>Toronto&#8217;s offence has exploded for 28 runs across the first three games of this series, but New York is a slight favourite with Clarke Schmidt pitching opposite Chris Bassitt. The Yankees&#8217; righty was spectacular in June, posting a 1.95 ERA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, featuring Schmidt and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Best Bet: Schmidt over 17.5 outs (-167)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Schmidt&#8217;s run of dominance actually started on May 28, when he threw six shutout innings against the Los Angeles Angels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Take a look at his numbers from that game onward:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1.64 ERA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.157 BA (.172 xBA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>24% K rate, 4% BB rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>18+ outs in five of six starts<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Schmidt&#8217;s .172 xBA indicates those results were no fluke, and his 4% walk rate tells me he won&#8217;t burn through pitches against Toronto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The righty is a contact pitcher, and the Jays strike out at the lowest clip in MLB. So it&#8217;s also important that Schmidt ranks in the 80th percentile or higher in hard-hit rate, barrel rate and average exit velocity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">New York has had to use plenty of relievers this series and is back at it tomorrow for a Subway Series against the Mets. I&#8217;m sure Aaron Boone would love to give Schmidt a longer leash tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Schmidt has pitched into the sixth inning in 10 of his 13 starts, clearing this line eight times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+100):<\/strong> I&#8217;m not expecting a no-hitter from Schmidt, and think Vladdy is the man to target on Toronto&#8217;s side of things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Guerrero is batting .302 with a 1.026 OPS in his last 15 games. Perhaps more importantly, he has only two strikeouts in his last eight outings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Putting the ball in play is key for a bases prop, and Guerrero has done that plenty against Schmidt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He is just 2-for-13 against the righty, but only one of those at-bats ended in a strikeout. And he has a .322 xBA and .519 xSLG in those matchups. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Blue Jays picks made at 9:06 a.m. ET on 07\/03\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays are one win away from sweeping the New York Yankees and sitting alone atop the AL East. The pregame narrative: Toronto&#8217;s offence has exploded for 28 runs across the first three games of this series, but New York is a slight favourite with Clarke Schmidt pitching opposite Chris Bassitt. The Yankees&#8217; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":355538,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-355543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday&#039;s game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday&#039;s game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/07\/CP215364352-1-scaled.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Avery Perri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AveryPerri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Avery Perri\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/\",\"name\":\"Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday's game in Toronto.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31\",\"name\":\"Avery Perri\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Avery Perri\"},\"description\":\"Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf \u2014 mainly because it\u2019s easier than actually playing \u2014 but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/home\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AveryPerri\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/averyjperrigmail-com\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB","description":"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday's game in Toronto.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB","og_description":"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday's game in Toronto.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1707,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/07\/CP215364352-1-scaled.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Avery Perri","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@AveryPerri","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Avery Perri","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/","name":"Blue Jays picks vs. Yankees: July 3 MLB betting | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00","dateModified":"2025-07-03T14:01:51+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31"},"description":"Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks for July 3, 2025. MLB betting odds and prop predictions for Thursday's game in Toronto.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/yankees-vs-blue-jays-picks-july-3\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31","name":"Avery Perri","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg","caption":"Avery Perri"},"description":"Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf \u2014 mainly because it\u2019s easier than actually playing \u2014 but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/home","https:\/\/twitter.com\/AveryPerri"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/averyjperrigmail-com\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/355543","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=355543"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/355543\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":355547,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/355543\/revisions\/355547"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/355538"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=355543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=355543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=355543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}