{"id":355148,"date":"2025-06-30T10:09:05","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T14:09:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=355148"},"modified":"2025-06-30T10:09:05","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T14:09:05","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-june-30-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-june-30-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets June 30: Burns looks to build off strong debut, Witt vies to extend hot streak"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-6136ecc2-0cb3-4ab9-907f-141f56234f79\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/chase_burns\/pitching-stats\">Chase Burns<\/a> makes his second MLB start on Monday, and I&#8217;m buying in on his prop market at plus money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Burns racked up a bunch of strikeouts in his debut, and he draws a stellar matchup to do that again tonight. Elsewhere, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/bobby_witt_jr\/batting-stats\">Bobby Witt Jr.<\/a> looks to stay hot while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/patrick_corbin\/pitching-stats\">Patrick Corbin<\/a> should be tasked with eating a decent sum of innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 30.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Witt over 1.5 total bases (-106)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt is on a hot streak right now, and I&#8217;m digging his matchup tonight against Seattle&#8217;s George Kirby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Over his past 13 games, the shortstop has a .333\/.357\/.630 slash line. In that span, 10 of his 18 hits have gone for extra bases.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Witt has just three walks in his past 22 games, which tells you he&#8217;s going up there to hit. On the season, his 7.1% walk rate ranks in MLB&#8217;s 35th percentile, per Baseball Savant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirby is the right kind of pitcher for a free swinger to face. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The right-hander has a low walk rate (5.8%, 84th percentile), and he allows plenty of hard contact. He ranks in the 35th percentile or worse in xERA, xBA, whiff rate, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt is 4-for-9 with two doubles vs. Kirby. And as MLB&#8217;s doubles leader (29), I know he&#8217;s quite capable of cashing this bet on one swing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Witt is 10-3 vs. this prop in his past 13 games, averaging 2.6 bases per game over that time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><a href=\"cacheembed:115366\">Embed: #115366<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Corbin over 16.5 outs (-110):<\/strong> Corbin needs to get into meat shield mode to give his severely depleted bullpen a breather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texas Rangers went to extras in all three games of their weekend series, playing 34 total innings from Friday through Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a result, six of their eight relievers have worked two of the past three days. And another one is likely unavailable after throwing 39 pitches on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just because it&#8217;d be nice to get length out of Corbin doesn&#8217;t mean it&#8217;ll happen. But I expect his leash to be longer than usual under these circumstances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Corbin is 4-6 vs. this prop since the start of May, but he&#8217;s averaging a hearty 17.2 outs\/game in that time. He has pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in nine of his past 10 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Burns over 6.5 Ks (+123)<\/strong>: Burns, the No. 2 overall pick in last year&#8217;s draft, had an eventful MLB debut last week that flashed plenty of promise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 5.0 innings, Burns allowed three runs on six hits while striking out eight. The righty&#8217;s fastball ticked up to 100.1 mph, and he garnered six whiffs on his slider (40.0% whiff rate).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s debatable who has the upper hand when a lineup is facing a pitcher for the first time, but I think the edge goes to the pitcher. The matchup itself is advantageous, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston has the third-highest strikeout rate in MLB (24.1%). Over the past two weeks, the Red Sox&#8217;s K rate is up to 26.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 06\/30\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chase Burns makes his second MLB start on Monday, and I&#8217;m buying in on his prop market at plus money. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Burns racked up a bunch of strikeouts in his debut, and he draws a stellar matchup to do that again tonight. Elsewhere, Bobby Witt Jr. looks to stay hot while Patrick [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":355157,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-355148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets June 30: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for June 30, 2025. 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