{"id":354693,"date":"2025-06-26T13:34:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T17:34:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=354693"},"modified":"2025-06-26T13:34:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T17:34:11","slug":"mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-june-26-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-home-run-picks-and-predictions-june-26-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB home run picks June 26: Best bets and predictions to go deep on Thursday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/bobby_witt_jr\/batting-stats\">Bobby Witt Jr.<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/mike_yastrzemski\/batting-stats\">Mike Yastrzemski<\/a> are my MLB home run picks for Thursday afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative<\/strong>: Neither player is in a particularly HR-friendly venue, but there are other factors that have my attention. Yastrzemski has the platoon advantage against a struggling pitcher, while Witt is looking to build on an emerging hot streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best MLB home run picks for June 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB home run picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Witt to hit a home run (+340)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt is more of a gap-to-gap power guy rather than a home run hitter, but I think he&#8217;s in a decent spot to come through on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a solid breeze blowing out to left field at Kauffman Stadium, clocked at 12-14 mph, per Swish Analytics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All but one of Witt&#8217;s 10 homers this season were hit to the pull side (i.e., left field), so that wind should help.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ironically, the lone opposite-field HR for Witt this season came against today&#8217;s opposing pitcher, Shane Baz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baz is no stranger to giving up hard contact. He ranks in the 40th percentile or worse in average exit velocity, barrel rate and xERA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt tends to struggle most against sliders from right-handed pitchers. But Baz\u2019s struggles <em>with <\/em>his slider against right-hitting players is even worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Righties are 9-for-21 (.429) with six home runs off Baz\u2019s slider. Ideally, he\u2019ll turn Witt\u2019s weakness into a strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt is MLB\u2019s doubles leader (27), but hopefully today\u2019s windy conditions can push an extra-base knock over the wall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Witt has a .333\/.368\/.639 slash line in his past nine games, with a pair of HRs in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:115237\">Embed: #115237<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best HR predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yastrzemski to hit a home run (+510)<\/strong>: Miami\u2019s Janson Junk is a nice pitcher to target for home run props, even if Oracle Park isn\u2019t a HR-friendly venue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among 363 qualified pitchers, Junk has allowed the third-highest average exit velocity (92.9 mph) and the second-highest hard-hit rate (53.7%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Batting from the left side, Yastrzemski will have the platoon advantage against the right-handed Junk. Yastrzemski has an .811 OPS vs. RHPs in his career, while Junk has allowed an .886 OPS to LHHs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past 14 games, Yastrzemski has a .340\/.429\/.553 slash line and a pair of home runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB home run picks made at 1:08 p.m. ET on 06\/25\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bobby Witt Jr. and Mike Yastrzemski are my MLB home run picks for Thursday afternoon. Today&#8217;s MLB HR narrative: Neither player is in a particularly HR-friendly venue, but there are other factors that have my attention. Yastrzemski has the platoon advantage against a struggling pitcher, while Witt is looking to build on an emerging hot [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":354709,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-354693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB home run picks June 26: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB home run picks for June 26, 2025. 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