{"id":352633,"date":"2025-06-14T09:58:29","date_gmt":"2025-06-14T13:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=352633"},"modified":"2025-06-14T09:58:29","modified_gmt":"2025-06-14T13:58:29","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-june-14-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-june-14-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets June 14: Tatis, Castro have value to produce at the plate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-6136ecc2-0cb3-4ab9-907f-141f56234f79\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/fernando_tatis_jr\/batting-stats\">Fernando Tatis Jr.<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jacob_degrom\/pitching-stats\">Jacob deGrom<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/willi_castro\/batting-stats\">Willi Castro<\/a> have my attention on Saturday&#8217;s MLB prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d0873b89-4dfa-47d6-9954-56140c451c77\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Tatis isn&#8217;t doing his best work with the bat this month, but he&#8217;s offsetting that with a discerning eye at the plate. deGrom, meanwhile, has excelled at working deeper into games this season and should carve up the overmatched Chicago White Sox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-1fb8fd5d-1623-4b06-83cc-6471dee8b3c9\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-22b3784f-32c2-400a-beef-1578a991be49\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-0c59b741-4781-48d8-8ffa-d93f8ee90c10\"><strong>Best bet: Castro over 0.5 hits (-122)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When a hitter is on the type of roll Castro is on, this pick feels too good to be true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The switch-hitting utility man is on a six-game hit streak and has cashed this bet in 12 of 14 starts since May 27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From that date onward, he&#8217;s 21-for-53 (.396) with a 1.230 OPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So why is this price so good? It&#8217;s safe to say it has a lot to do with the guy on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Astros starter Hunter Brown is shoving this season. He ranks third in ERA (1.82), fourth in opponent BA (.187) and fifth in K rate (31.1%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s daunting, but I&#8217;m heartened by Castro&#8217;s success in this head-to-head matchup. He&#8217;s 7-for-11 with a double against Brown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s likely that Castro will have an at-bat or two against Houston&#8217;s bullpen as well, but his past success vs. Brown puts this over the edge and makes me feel great about the pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-13bf476e-3f27-4d52-86f2-70dff07fd638\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Castro has recorded a hit in 33 of 48 starts (68.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:114795\">Embed: #114795<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-10146156-2d6b-49a8-b097-37743fd550b5\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-ebade6eb-0e6a-4675-8cbc-3a4396c11ac4\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-310bddf4-d3c1-4fc6-8fe4-37281455da02\"><strong>Tatis over 0.5 runs (-122)<\/strong>: Arizona&#8217;s Zac Gallen has been very gettable recently, and I think Tatis can add to that notion tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gallen (4-8, 5.15 ERA) has allowed 52 baserunners in 35.0 innings over his past six starts. He has a 6.17 ERA in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tatis, the leadoff man for the Padres, went 2-for-3 with a walk and a double in Friday&#8217;s series opener in Arizona. He has a .396 on-base percentage this month and is 6-5 vs. this prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against Gallen, Tatis has reached base in nine of 21 plate appearances (.429 OBP) with two home runs and a double.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though Tatis&#8217; bat isn&#8217;t particularly hot right now, he&#8217;s quite capable of working a walk or two. And Gallen leads the NL in walks issued (36).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>deGrom over 6.5 Ks (-137)<\/strong>: I don&#8217;t love the juice on this prop, and that&#8217;s the reason I don&#8217;t have it featured as my best bet. But there&#8217;s still a lot to like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>deGrom is 4-2 vs. this line in his past six starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>deGrom has 22 strikeouts in 50 plate appearances against the White Sox (44.0 K%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The White Sox have the fourth-highest K rate in MLB over the past two weeks (25.4 K%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>deGrom has an 8.7 K\/9 this season, which is the lowest of his career. But he&#8217;s consistently working deep enough into games that that isn&#8217;t a huge concern to me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s averaging 17.6 outs per start, which is just south of six innings. And he&#8217;s worked into the sixth inning or later in nine of his past 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, deGrom ranks in the 84th percentile in whiff rate and the 86th percentile in chase rate. He still has elite stuff, even if the strikeout efficiency is down in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-571cf986-8d14-4776-b519-20fa27d04fec\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 9:45 p.m. ET on 06\/14\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fernando Tatis Jr., Jacob deGrom and Willi Castro have my attention on Saturday&#8217;s MLB prop market. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Tatis isn&#8217;t doing his best work with the bat this month, but he&#8217;s offsetting that with a discerning eye at the plate. deGrom, meanwhile, has excelled at working deeper into games this season and should [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":352637,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-352633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets June 14: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for June 14, 2025. 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