{"id":349604,"date":"2025-05-29T15:33:35","date_gmt":"2025-05-29T19:33:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=349604"},"modified":"2025-05-29T15:33:35","modified_gmt":"2025-05-29T19:33:35","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-29\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets May 29: Back Nats stud James Wood and Tampa&#8217;s Jonathan Aranda"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">It&#8217;s a light Thursday on the MLB schedule, but I still have three player prop recommendations for the action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Washington Nationals stud James Wood has been on fire and enjoys a plus matchup during the final MLB game of the night. Two picks from the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros series opener round out my plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">Check out my top MLB prop bets for May 29, featuring predictions on Jonathan Aranda and Shane Baz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Wood over 1.5 total bases (+110)<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s clear value here on the 22-year-old, who\u2019s been raking for the Nats.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The left fielder enters tonight\u2019s game at T-Mobile Park with 15 homers and a .950 OPS.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He\u2019s top 10 in the majors in wRC+ and ISO, and he&#8217;s one of 11 players to drive in 40-plus runs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Wood, who will see Seattle Mariners righty Emerson Hancock, is batting .295\/.396\/.590 with 10 homers vs. RHPs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Hancock (5.95 ERA) has been roughed up repeatedly, allowing opposing batters to hit a scorching .325\/.376\/.528 off him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He doesn&#8217;t miss bats and has struggled to keep the ball in the yard, leading to bottom-10 percentile ranks in K% and expected ERA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his last 10 games, Wood has a 1.238 OPS and is 8-2 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Wood has topped 1.5 bases in 50.9% of his starts, the eighth-best mark in MLB (per Team Rankings).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Aranda over 0.5 RBI (+162)<\/strong>: Six qualified hitters are batting at least .300 with a .900 OPS. Aranda is one of them.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 27-year-old has exploded this season, entering tonight with a team-leading 30 RBI. He has done damage against right-handers and will see one tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the platoon advantage, Aranda is batting .333\/.399\/.568 with all seven of his homers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston&#8217;s Ryan Gusto has struggled against lefty hitters, sporting a .284\/.377\/.582 slash line. His opponent OPS vs. LHHs is more than 300 points higher, and he\u2019s surrendered all six of his homers to them.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aranda generally hits in a run-producing spot, batting cleanup or No. 5 in the Rays\u2019 lineup in all but three games this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Baz under 17.5 outs (-106)<\/strong>: Sticking with Rays\/Astros, I don&#8217;t like Baz&#8217;s ability to work deep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The right-hander has made five starts in May, clearing this line once. The two times he pitched effectively both came against the Toronto Blue Jays.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Baz allowed five-plus runs in each of his other three starts and has walked multiple batters in every outing this month.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He hasn&#8217;t been missing bats, either, after recording two double-digit strikeout games in April.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Rays starters have gone six-plus innings in four consecutive games, so Tampa shouldn&#8217;t have fatigue concerns about its bullpen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston&#8217;s 118 wRC+ over the last two weeks is tops in the AL (second in MLB). The Astros have won four straight and have the second-most home wins (20) in baseball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a tough assignment for the 25-year-old Baz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 2:55 p.m. ET on 05\/29\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s a light Thursday on the MLB schedule, but I still have three player prop recommendations for the action. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Washington Nationals stud James Wood has been on fire and enjoys a plus matchup during the final MLB game of the night. Two picks from the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":349566,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-349604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets May 29: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 29, 2025. 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